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发表于 2015-5-26 21:53:00
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argument 71示范+范文详细解析
本帖最后由 tesolchina 于 2015-8-7 07:51 编辑
argument 71 build new road or encourage ride sharing
71. The following is a letter to the editor of the Waymarsh Times.
"Traffic here in Waymarsh is becoming a problem. Although just three years ago a state traffic survey showed that the typical driving commuter took 20 minutes to get to work, the commute now takes closer to 40 minutes, according to the survey just completed. Members of the town council already have suggested more road building to address the problem, but as well as being expensive, the new construction will surely disrupt some of our residential neighborhoods. It would be better to follow the example of the nearby city of Garville. Last year Garville implemented a policy that rewards people who share rides to work, giving them coupons for free gas. Pollution levels in Garville have dropped since the policy was implemented, and people from Garville tell me that commuting times have fallen considerably. There is no reason why a policy like Garville's shouldn't work equally well in Waymarsh."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
全文示范
部分同学写这篇的时候问题较多。有同学希望我讲一下argument的中间段如何展开。我在这里试下分析这篇示范。
According to the letter, Waymarsh should introduce a policy similar to that of Garville to encourage more drivers to share rides with others to solve a perceived traffic problem. This policy will be better than the road building project proposed by the city council. To evaluate this argument, we need more evidence about the surveys indicating the traffic problem, the policy implemented in Garville that is now proposed for Waymarsh, as well as its strengths and weaknesses relative to the road construction plan.
首先主旨句用 we need more evidence about A, B as well as C的句型 分别呼应中间三段
To begin with, we need to examine the surveys more critically to decide if there is indeed a traffic problem in Waymarsh. We need to know more about how participants were recruited in the two respective surveys to determine if the results are comparable. Maybe one survey focused more on one group of people who go to work at 6 am and the other on those travelling at 8am. Under such circumtances, the difference in commute time does not mean the traffic in Waymarsh had turned worse. Also, it is important to look into how reliable the self-reported data about commute time was in both surveys. Drivers do not necessarily recall how much time they spent commuting accurately and their estimation can deviate considerably from the reality. If the survey authors did not collect other data to verify the results, the conclusion based on the surveys would be questionable. If Waymarsh traffic has no problem, there is no need to introduce the proposed policy.
主题句这里提出关注的重点在于究竟交通有没有问题
We need to know more about how participants were recruited in the two respective surveys to determine if the results are comparable. 这句话是回应题目的要求 需要什么证据 其实就是需要什么信息
Maybe one survey focused more on one group of people who go to work at 6 am and the other on those travelling at 8am. 接下来提出某种可能性
Under such circumtances, the difference in commute time does not mean the traffic in Waymarsh had turned worse. 然后指出这种情况下 会发生什么 往往是和原题相反或矛盾的情况
Also, it is important to look into how reliable the self-reported data about commute time was in both surveys. 再回应题目 另一种需要的信息
Drivers do not necessarily recall how much time they spent commuting accurately and their estimation can deviate considerably from the reality. 再提出其他可能性
If the survey authors did not collect other data to verify the results, the conclusion based on the surveys would be questionable. 指出这种可能性下 结论不成立 If Waymarsh traffic has no problem, there is no need to introduce the proposed policy. 最后呼应主题句,指出这个点和原文论证某个基础的关系
由此可见本段基本上就是
1 提出需要的证据
2 提出其他可能性
3 指出这种可能性成立对原论证的影响
这样一个三步循环
我想我大部分的argument都是依照这个套路的 具体还要再找些文章来验证一下
In addition, we need to collect more information about how the policy has changed the traffic in Garville and how a similar policy will affect people’s behaviors in Waymarsh. The fact that pollution levels dropped does not necessarily imply that the policy had reduced the traffic and the amount of exhaust in Garville. Maybe when the policy was introduced more draconian measures were also taken to reduce pollution caused by factories in Garville. Also, it was not clear that the commuting time have decreased for most of Garville drivers and passengers based on the anecdotal evidence that the author of the letter collected through casual conversation with some people in Garville. More systematic data collection is necessary to evaluate the effectiveness of the policy in Garville. Meanwhile, we do not know how attractive the coupons would seem to the Waymarsh drivers. Maybe the income level is much higher among Waymarsh residents that the small amount of saving from the coupons would not create enough incentives for them to give up their privacy and share rides with strangers. Likewise, maybe Waymarsh drivers and passengers are more concerned with safety and reluctant to share rides despite the financial rewards. Unless we know more about Waymarsh drivers and commuters’ attitudes towards the policy, we cannot be sure whether the policy will work in Waymarsh.
In addition, we need to collect more information about how the policy has changed the traffic in Garville and how a similar policy will affect people’s behaviors in Waymarsh. 这句还是回应题目要求指出需要哪方面的证据或信息
注意主旨句中说的是 the policy implemented in Garville that is now proposed for Waymarsh
这里就更细致的展开 但是还是围绕policy来说的
The fact that pollution levels dropped does not necessarily imply that the policy had reduced the traffic and the amount of exhaust in Garville. 这句话有同学觉得读起来有些复杂 主要是主语和宾语都是从句 然后imply这个词可能不太熟悉
但这个 The fact that ... does not necessarily imply that ... 的句型还是挺有用的
这里是质疑原题对某个事实潜在的诠释
Maybe when the policy was introduced more draconian measures were also taken to reduce pollution caused by factories in Garville.
这句提出其他可能性
Also, it was not clear that the commuting time have decreased for most of Garville drivers and passengers based on the anecdotal evidence that the author of the letter collected through casual conversation with some people in Garville.
这里质疑原题中的证据的可靠性
More systematic data collection is necessary to evaluate the effectiveness of the policy in Garville.
提出需要更多的数据
Meanwhile, we do not know how attractive the coupons would seem to the Waymarsh drivers.
提出另一个问题 开始回应主题句中how a similar policy will affect people’s behaviors in Waymarsh.
Maybe the income level is much higher among Waymarsh residents that the small amount of saving from the coupons would not create enough incentives for them to give up their privacy and share rides with strangers.
提出其他可能性
Likewise, maybe Waymarsh drivers and passengers are more concerned with safety and reluctant to share rides despite the financial rewards.
再提出其他可能性
Unless we know more about Waymarsh drivers and commuters’ attitudes towards the policy, we cannot be sure whether the policy will work in Waymarsh.
总结第二点
Finally, we need to compare the cost and benefits of the ride sharing policy with the proposed road construction project. It is true that some neighborhood will have to live with noise and disruption for a few months when the road is built. But this disruption can be measured quantitatively by offering the affected residents some monetary compensation. On the other hand, the gas coupons will also cost money, not to mention the extra police forces that might be necessary to ensure the safety of people who share rides with strangers. Ultimately, we need to calculate the total costs of both proposals and compared them with the benefits of each in terms of time that can be saved for commuting. Unless we have more quantitative data about the cost and benefit of both solutions, it is difficult for us to decide which one is more desirable.
Finally, we need to compare the cost and benefits of the ride sharing policy with the proposed road construction project.
这里已经看不到 we need more information about的句型 但是提出要比较其实也需要收集数据或证据
It is true that some neighborhood will have to live with noise and disruption for a few months when the road is built.
先对原题的事实作出回应和让步
But this disruption can be measured quantitatively by offering the affected residents some monetary compensation.
这里是经济学的思考方式 所有的东西都换算成货币
这个写法可能稍微有点难 不过argument有不少内容和经济学还是有关系的
On the other hand, the gas coupons will also cost money, not to mention the extra police forces that might be necessary to ensure the safety of people who share rides with strangers.
指出另一个方案的成本 除了明显的成本 还有隐形成本 呼应前面提到的安全问题
Ultimately, we need to calculate the total costs of both proposals and compared them with the benefits of each in terms of time that can be saved for commuting.
基于前面对两种方案成本的分析 提出需要计算总的成本进行比较
Unless we have more quantitative data about the cost and benefit of both solutions, it is difficult for us to decide which one is more desirable.
最后总结 提出需要定量数据
(其实这也是文科越来越不值钱的原因 大数据时代 磨嘴皮已经没什么意思 建模 写代码才是王道)
我的提纲里提到50年 但实际示范中并没有写这个点 具体怎么写大家自己决定
In conclusion, while the proposed policy seems useful, we need to collect more information to address the issues discussed above to evaluate the soundness of the argument.
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