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发表于 2015-5-18 10:32:41
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本帖最后由 Kssandra 于 2015-5-18 10:37 编辑
Argument 4
The following appeared in a letter from a homeowner to a friend.
"Of the two leading real estate firms in our town—Adams Realty and Fitch Realty—Adams Realty is clearly superior. Adams has 40 real estate agents; in contrast, Fitch has 25, many of whom work only part-time. Moreover, Adams' revenue last year was twice as high as that of Fitch and included home sales that averaged $168,000, compared to Fitch's $144,000. Homes listed with Adams sell faster as well: ten years ago I listed my home with Fitch, and it took more than four months to sell; last year, when I sold another home, I listed it with Adams, and it took only one month. Thus, if you want to sell your home quickly and at a good price, you should use Adams Realty."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
In this letter, the author is arguing that Adams Realty is a better estate firm than Fitch Realty and his/her friend should use Adams Realty to sell their homes, based on the facts that first, Adams Realty has more and full time agents; second, Adams has higher revenue last year; third, Adams sold the author's home faster today than Fitch did ten years ago. However, several stated or hidden assumptions are there in the argument and they may or may not hold true.
The first assumption is that fewer agents and part-time agents mean worse service, so Fitch Realty has fewer agents and a high proportion of part-time agents mean that they provide not as good service as Adams Realty. However, if we take the agents' efficiency, capability and commitment into consideration, then this assumption may be unwarranted. The 40 agents at Adams may not be as capable, efficient and committed to their job as the agents of Fitch Realty, which results in that they may spend fewer hours on their work and provide even worse service then the 25 agents of Fitch Realty. Thus Fitch Realty will actually provide better service with fewer but more efficient and professional agents.
The second assumption, which is not clearly stated in the argument, is that more revenue and higher sales average last year mean better service. Thus Adams's revenue last year was twice as much as Fitch's, and their sales average is also higher than Fitch, mean that they will sell every home (including the friend's home) for higher prices. However, this assumption may not hold true when Adams actually sold fewer but more expensive homes last year, while Fitch sold more but less expensive houses. Adams may even underpriced some of the expensive houses, but we just cannot learn from the data. Adams Realty may just did a higher percent of business in selling more expensive houses but is actually not good at selling less expensive houses. So if someone has expensive homes to sell, Adams is more interested in the business but ends up sell it for less money than the house deserves. Also if someone has a small inexpensive home to sell, Fitch Realty will do a better job.
The third assumption, which is also hidden in the argument, is that the situation and condition of homes that was sold 10 year ago was the same with that of last year. However, it's like comparing apples to oranges since things may be very different in the two cases: 10 years ago not many people were selling and buying homes, but much more people are in this business it today. If the author used Adams to sell his home 10 years ago, Adams might have taken even more than 2 month. Also, the home he sold last year might be a way better home than the one he sold 10 years ago, so more people were interested in that home. If he used Fitch last year and if they do actually sell homes faster, it could have taken less than a month to sell the house. So if the friend has an expensive home to sell, he may not be happy with the final price that Adams gives him; or if he has an inexpensive home, Adams will take forever to sell it.
In conclusion, the argument and its suggestions are based on several stated or unstated assumptions which may or may not hold true. If they do not, then Fitch Realty may actually provide better service than Adams, and the friend may sell their homes faster with a better price if they use Fitch.
写完大概25分钟,剩下的时间只够检查到第二段。
另外觉得第二段虽然都是关于价格的,但是其实有营业额和平均售价两个方面,被我糅杂在一起说了。分开能更好一些,但是时间不允许了。或者其实可以舍弃掉一个?
其实argument的时间也是挺紧张的。 |
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