Argu 38 and 155 .(SOS! Lots of problems!)

qianqunUID: 193202

I wrote only 300 words within the given time. And I doubt my argument suffers many cricital flaws.
Can friends tell me your experiences?
My problems:
1:Is it necessary to line out the the premise,assumption and reasoning of the arguer in the beginning paragraph.?
2:Can I copy the sentences in the argument?Or simplify them and rewrite in my own words?
3:How many words are enough?

qianqunUID: 193202

Argument 38

In this argument, the arguer recommends the daily use of Ichthad, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism in West Meria. To support the recommendation, the arguer cites a study which report that in East Meria where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Thus eating a substantial amount of fish can prevents colds. In addition, the arguer assumes that because colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, preventing colds can lower absenteeism. This argument is unconvincing for several critical flaws.
In the first place, the arguer commits a logic fallacy by assuming a correlation amounts to a causal relationship. In East Meria, fish consumption is very high and people seldom visit the doctor because of colds, but it does not follow that eating fish can prevent colds. Unless given more evidence and studies, we are not convinced that it useful to prevent colds by eating fish.
In the second place, the arguer fails to take into account other factors besides eating fish that may prevent colds in East Meria. It is likely that the weather in East Meria is moderate and thus people there seldom catch colds. Another possibility is that people in East often take exercises to keep fit and have strong immune systems. Without considering all other alternatives, the arguer concludes eating fish can prevent colds, which is groundless and invalid.
What is more, if eating a substantial amount of fish can actually prevent colds, the recommendation by the arguer that daily use of Ichthaid can prevents colds and lower absenteeism in West Meria is not sound. Firstly, the Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil may not contain materials that attribute to the prevention of colds. Secondly, colds may be the excuse, not real reason most frequently given fir absences from school and work. Prevention of colds may not help lower absenteeism. Least but not last, the arguer commits a false analogy that the experiences in East Meria might be useful in West Meria. The arguer ignores the differences between the two areas, for example, the weather, public medical care, people health condition, eating customs. What makes sense in East Meria may have little use to West Meria. Thus, it is too hasty of the arguer to give the recommendation.
To sum up, the recommendation lacks credibility because the evidence proposed in the analysis does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains. To strengthen the argument, the arguer must provide more evidence to demonstrate the causal relationship between eating fish oil and the prevention of colds and lowering absenteeism. In addition, the arguer would have to consider other factors that influence preventing colds and lowering absenteeism.

qianqunUID: 193202

Argument 155
In this argument, the arguer recommends that school board should encourage schools to buy books on tape and to use them in elementary education. To support the conclusion, the arguer assumes that books recorded on audiocassette tape provide an important alternative for students to develop reading skills in elementary school. In addition, the arguer cites studies attesting to the value of allowing students to hear books read aloud. This argument is unconvincing for several critical flaws.
In the first place, the arguer fails to take into account other factors that lead to poor development of reading skills in elementary school. The arguer assumes that many students who are discouraged by the lonely activity of reading turn away from schoolwork merely because they are poor readers. In fact, this may be the result of poor guidance of teachers or the reading materials too difficult. Without considering these factors besides the willingness and interest of students, which are all important in the development of reading skills in elementary education, the conclusion reached by the arguer is groundless and invalid.
In the second place, the arguer does not convince us books on tape can make students improve reading skills. Though the arguer tells us many studies attest to the value of allowing students to hear books read aloud, no information about the studies is supplied. We have no idea when and how the studies are conducted, what the sample size is or how the subjects are chosen. Unless more evidence available, we cannot accept the conclusion that hearing books on tape can only make students more eager to read and to learn.
To sum up, the conclusion lacks credibility because the evidence proposed in the analysis does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains. To strengthen the argument, the arguer would have to provide more evidence concerning the effect on the development of reading skills by hearing books on tape. In addition, other factors that influence the development of reading skills of the students have to take into consideration.

qianqunUID: 193202

can anyone help me?
3x

qianqunUID: 193202

help~~~~