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Argument11 @ 3.21
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没有限时 419字
------题目------
The following appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of West Egg.
'Two years ago, our consultants predicted that West Egg's landfill, which is used for garbage disposal, would be completely filled within five years. During the past two years, however, town residents have been recycling twice as much aluminum and paper as they did in previous years. Next month the amount of material recycled should further increase, since charges for garbage pickup will double. Furthermore, over ninety percent of the respondents to a recent survey said that they would do more recycling in the future. Because of our residents' strong commitment to recycling, the available space in our landfill should last for considerably longer than predicted.
------正文------
Thanks to the strong commitment of citizens in West Egg, the mayor considered the landfill there would certainly not be filled up within three years form now on. But before overthrowing the prediction made by the city's consultants two years ago, the reasons stated in the argument should be examined form several other perspectives.
First of all, we cannot tell the future simply form the past. The arguer assumed that residents of West Egg would keep reducing the load of their landfill according to their achievement in recycling aluminum and paper during the last two years. The fact, however, is that aluminum and paper is a small sort of the whole home wastes. That is to say, we do not know recycling situations of other garbage sorts, such as empty bottles and cans, used furniture and other home appliances, and many plastic materials, which are all necessary in an accurate predicting.
Furthermore, the double charges of garbage pickup from next month might not be so effective that could greatly ensure the huge drop of wastes in landfill. If the cast of pickup is quite small at first, most people will ignore the little increase when they dealing with the matter of wastes. Even the fee is somewhat expensive, citizens will also do as they used to because of the basic life needs.
Also, the survey in this argument is too limited to be convictive as well. The memo says nothing about the other citizens besides the most respondents of that survey, so it therefore cannot draw a conclusion that all residents will do more recycling in the future. Perhaps the receivers of the survey are those who all received higher education, or perhaps the respondents who might be all in the same age bracket, or of the same location in the city. The point is, a hasty generalization about the whole residents cannot be made from the vague survey. This survey failed to cover a board cross-section of the population. So the result seems questionable.
Even if the whole citizens of West Egg will all do more recycling according to the lame results shown in the survey, the landfill might also be completely filled as three years' time goes by because the arguer made his conclusion without taking the other garbage sources into account. The industry, for instance, generates various wastes. The construction in the city would also bring all kinds of garbage too. The argument who only thinks of the condition of residents' daily lives can hardly stand. |
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