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For the past five years, consumers in California have been willing to pay twice as much for oysters from the northeastern Atlantic Coast as for Gulf Coast oysters. This trend began shortly after harmful bacteria were found in a few raw Gulf Coast oysters. But scientists have now devised a process for killing the bacteria. Once consumers are made aware of the increased safety of Gulf Coast oysters, they are likely to be willing to pay as much for Gulf Coast as for northeastern Atlantic Coast oysters, and greater profits for Gulf Coast oyster producers will follow.
观点:
1. 消费者不买A买B不一定是因为这个有害虫的问题
2.采用的科学技术未必能解决这个害虫问题
3. 解决了也不代表消费者会同样价钱来买(这点怎么也说不清...)
4.不一定有利润,因为成本提高或者竞争
The writer asserts if the consumers in California realize the safety of Gulf Coast oysters, they will buy them instead of buying those from northeastern Atlantic, and this will bring huge profits to the Gulf Coast oysters. Making such contention, the arguer firmly consider once the safety of oysters is improved, the consumers will turn to Gulf Coast products necessarily. Nevertheless, many other possible scenarios are neglected, which render the conclusion unconvincing.
Firstly, the arguer cites the harmful bacteria found in a few raw Gulf Coast oysters which ruined the reputation of Gulf Coast oysters as the major reason for consumers turning to northeastern Atlantic Coast products. There might be a certain correlation between them, but it is not certainly a causal relationship. Even if no bacteria had been found in oysters from Gulf Coast, consumers would buy northeastern Atlantic Coast oysters for their high quality. Therefore, the arguer go extremely to attribute the decrease in sales to the bacteria problem.
Even assuming the bacteria scandal is the main problem lies in Gulf Coast products, when the problem is solved, consumers will not definitely choose Gulf Coast oysters again. The arguer only mentions scientists have invented a useful method to kill these bacteria, but he fails to provide any reliable information about whether the approach is efficient or not. Lacking sufficient evidence, hardly can the arguer convince us the safety of Gulf Coast oysters will absolutely be improved. More details should be presented in order to fully explain the killing bacteria process.
Suppose the safety of Gulf Coast oysters is improved and more consumers buy them again. The writer assumes hastily that they are willing to pay as much for Gulf Coast oysters as for northeastern Atlantic Coast. Under same price and same quality and quantity products, it is entirely possible consumers will choose the one which they have been trusted for five years. In short, without better evidence, the supposition is not substantiated.
Finally, the arguer makes the conclusion that the Gulf Coast oysters producers will gain greater profits from this new trend. To draw this conclusion, the arguer neglects many others factors related to profits. For instance, the cost, when the producers take scientific approaches to kill bacteria, new devices are needed, which will cost them more. Or, the price competition between Gulf Coast and northeastern Atlantic will ultimately diminish the price, so the profits will decrease rather than increase. The arguer fails to notice so many possibilities that the conclusion is unjustifiable.
From these analysis, hardly can the arguer well explain why Gulf Coast oyster producers will gain more profits. To better bolster the conclusion, the arguer should confirm the process being taken to kill bacteria is feasible, supply statistic to demonstrate that more consumers will chose Gulf Coast oysters again and for the same price as for northeastern Atlantic, so Gulf Coast oyster producers might have more profits. |
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