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Issue216 The following appeared in a magazine article about planning for retirement.
"Because of its spectacular natural beauty and consistent climate, Clearview should be a top choice for anyone seeking a place to retire. As a bonus, housing costs in Clearview have fallen significantly during the past year, and real estate taxes remain lower than those in neighboring towns. Nevertheless, Clearview's mayor promises many new programs to improve schools, streets, and public services. Retirees in Clearview can also expect excellent health care as they grow older, since the number of physicians in the area is far greater than the national average."
The arguer recommends Clearview as the best choice (top=best吗?) for retirement. To bolster his/her proposal, the speaker cites the following as supporting evidence: (1)in Clearview there has been a dramatic decline in housing costs; (2) the real estate taxes are lower than those in neighborhood; (3) the mayor promises improvement in infrastructures; and (4) the number of physicians is higher than the national average level. Logical and reasonable as it seems, closer inspection renders the evidence problematic and thus the proposal an irrational one.
First of all, dramatic decline in housing cost does not mean a low price now. Lacking any data of the property values in recent years, maybe the price was so high in the past that even a cut-down still resulted in a higher cost comparing with that of the neighborhood. If that is the case, then the decline in housing costs would not lend any support to the advantages of living in Clearview.
In the second place, the mayor's promises on the infrastructure improvement are also weak evidence to recommend Clearview. First, no one can ensure us that the mayor would keep his promise. Second, funding on these projects from government would probably give rise to a tax growth, in which case the taxes in Clearview may significantly increase, even though the real estate taxes are lower that that of the neighborhood.
Third, with the single information of physicians in a greater number, I still have my reservations about the advantages of Clearview. As we know, the old face a variety of diseases generally at a higher rate. Thus, in my view, the quality of medical treatment would be as important, if not more important than, the number of physicians. Further, if the population of Clearview is pretty larger than the national average level, it is hard to tell whether this relative higher number of physicians would suffice unless we access additional information about the proportion of physicians in the whole population.
Lastly, I believe that there are other factors that deserve consideration if we are choosing a place for retirement, such as the transport condition, the level of environmental pollution, and the stability of the society. In fact, the above-mentioned need for infrastructure improvement implies to some extent that the conditions in Clearview leave some to be desired. Thus, I can hardly agree with the author on his/her proposal unless other factors, besides housing costs and physicians, are evaluated.
To summarize, the author's attempt to recommend Clearview for retirement seems hard to succeed. To further strengthen it, the author should offer data about the housing costs after the decline and medical treatment quality in this city. In addition, we need to be ensured that the mayor would keep his/her promises well and the projects on improvement would impose no additional taxes on residents. Further, to choose a favorable place for retirement, I suggest other factors be involved for the final decision. |
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