Argument38【flying小组】第3次作业 by mubby

mubbyUID: 2300654

TOPIC: ARGUMENT38 - The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council.

"An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism."
WORDS: 365          TIME: 0:30:00          DATE: 2006-2-18

The author arrived at an idea of prevailing a new treatment of preventing colds which is based on the survey of East Meria where people there seldom suffer colds. Whereas the argument is dubious in the factors below:

The author claim that the reason why citizens of East Meria are immune to cold in most occasions is dued to their fish eating habit, however, it occurs suspicious to me in the following aspects. Maybe the climate of East Meria is fine and stable so people are less likely to catch on cold. Or there may exist some chances that the constitute of the people there are much stronger than the average level, so the probability of infecting cold in East Meria is much lower. In all, fish eating habits may contribute nothing to cold protecting and thus the new nutritional supplement could be completely useless.

Even assuming that eating fish indeed is the main reason in preventing colds. It's unfair to deduce that lchthaid which is derived from fish oil is effective in colds preventing. There can be so many elements in fish oil, without certain experiment we don't know the exact nutritional element which is responsible for curing colds. It's likely that lchthaid has no links to cold preventing at all. So the recommendation of daily use of the lchthaid might devote nothing to lower the possibility of catching cold.


Even if lchthaid is effective in cold preventing, please reread the argument and pay attention to the premise of it. The innovative treatment of cold is basing on the study of East Meria. It's highly possible that this prescription is only effective to citizens of East Meria. The reasons can be the unique climate and living customs of East Meria, which can result in that the treatment can work well on the citizens of East Meria whereas it's not effective at all to people from other cities. So it's unfair and irresponsible to infer that the treatment is still effective in other city too.

In the last analysis, the argument flaws in so many aspects and thus it is unconvincing and irresponsible. Whether the nutritional supplement is worth being spread is still left to doubt.

[ 本帖最后由 mubby 于 2007-2-20 14:31 编辑 ]

qingjiuUID: 193421

The author arrived at an idea of prevailing a new treatment of preventing colds which is based on the survey of East Meria where people there( there 不用吧) seldom suffer colds. Whereas the argument is dubious in the factors below:( 开头简洁，没有对题目盲目的复述是优点，可是会不会有点短)

The author claim that the reason why citizens of East Meria are immune（immuned） to cold in most occasions is dued to their fish eating habit, however, it occurs suspicious to me in the following aspects. Maybe the climate of East Meria is fine and stable so people are less likely to catch on cold( catch a cold ). Or there may exist some chances that the constitute of the people there are much stronger than the average level, so the probability of infecting cold in East Meria is much lower. In all, fish eating habits may contribute nothing to cold protecting and thus the new nutritional supplement could be completely useless.

Even assuming that eating fish indeed is the main reason in preventing colds. It's unfair to deduce that lchthaid which is derived from fish oil is effective in colds preventing. There can be so many elements in fish oil, without certain experiment we don't know the exact nutritional element which is responsible for curing colds. It's likely that lchthaid has no links to cold preventing at all. So the recommendation of daily use of the lchthaid might devote nothing to lower the possibility of catching cold.


Even if lchthaid is effective in cold preventing, please reread the argument and pay attention to the premise of it. The innovative treatment of cold is basing on the study of East Meria. It's highly possible that this prescription is only effective to citizens of East Meria. The reasons can be the unique climate and living customs of East Meria, which can result in that the treatment can work well on the citizens of East Meria whereas it's not effective at all to people from other cities. So it's unfair and irresponsible to infer that the treatment is still effective in other city too.

In the last analysis, the argument flaws in so many aspects and thus it is unconvincing and irresponsible. Whether the nutritional supplement is worth being spread is still left to doubt.
楼主没有分析很少看医生不代表很少得感冒这一点，关键关键~！

qingjiuUID: 193421

以及很少的感冒和减少请假率的关系阿~

mubbyUID: 2300654

果然是哈
每次限时都写的急急忙忙的
居然漏掉了
谢谢提醒哈