Argument140 提纲:1.会去别的学校的担心没有足够的证据. 2.是否值得加工资和提升:课堂大并不等于她的课就一定是受欢迎的,如果是必修课,听课人数自然就多了.却不能代表她受欢迎;这两年的她所获得的研究经费已经超过了她的工资,但是并不表示接下去她也一直能得到如此高的研究经费;她研究能力强也并不表示她就是合适的系主任的人选. 3.如果她要去更好的地方发展,只有物质条件未必就能留住她,需要了解她的真正需要. 正文: The argument presented above is relatively sound, however, there is no scientific evidence to confirm that professor Thomas will certainly leave the Elm city university for another collage, since the arguer fails to take account other relevant factors concerning it. First of all, let’s pay attention to whether the professor Thomas is worth to increasing annual salary. The causal relationship between that her classes are among the largest at the university and her popularity among the students is unwarranted. No other evidence is offered to support this assumption. It is highly possible that the courses she teaches are compulsory courses, which must be taken but without the other option alternative for the students. Without considering and eliminating the possible factors, the arguer cannot confidently conclude that the professor Thomas is really very popular with the students. In addition, the arguer assumes that the money she brought to the university in research grants has exceeded her salary in each of the last two years. Nonetheless, there is no guarantee that she will always own enough research grants in the future. It is possible that many factors such as state general economic conditions and her abilities of teaching and research will change in the following years. So, this evaluation of the Thomas’ teaching and research abilities is too brief to support these assumptions. What are the real assessments her students give to her? How the other faculties evaluate her teaching and research? A more specific statement about her contributions to the students and the university is needed in order to make the argument more forceful. Secondly, there is no obvious evidence that she is also good at office administration, just because her teaching and research abilities is high. That’s to say, it is hardly to support the promotion that she will be the department chairperson. On the other hand, spending too much time on the administration may affect her teaching and research. Finally, if the professor Thomas really leaves the Elm city university to pursuit a better personal development, what is the most import and direct reason? Substantial conditions may be not the most import. In other words, what does she really need and care? Only recognizing her real needs can make her still stay in the Elm city university more possible. In summary, this argument has several obvious flaws which render it logically unpersuasive. The arguer states the Thomas’ popularity and her abilities just considering one aspect. Therefore, to strengthen the argument, further analysis and sufficient evidences are needed.