五大牛校ECON phd placement的回归分析

cckantUID: 2247822

Chicago, MIT, Harvard, Princeton, Stanford 五大牛校对econ phd initial placement 的回归分析。

用micro, macro, metrics(计量）， admission 排名， GRE， 性别， 本科院校， 有否本科经济学背景，国籍等作自变量

用OLS, ordered probit, binary probit models

发表在2007年的AER（American Economics Review), 估计对admission committee 影响挺大的

呵呵，没想到这么(nowaday)简单的模型还能上AER吧。。。

不过，五大门派的五大牛人合作写的，加上AER审稿是single－blinded，（referee可以知道作者是谁，反之不然），而且data都是legally confidential（学生档案）. 估计也只能这样了

http://www.aeaweb.org/annual_mtg_papers/2007/0105_0800_0603.pdf

Abstract：

Our results indicate that students’ grades in required core courses are highly correlated across subjects. The Ph.D. admissions committee’s evaluation of a student predicts first-year grades and Ph.D. completion, but not job placement. First-year performance is a strong predictor of Ph.D. completion. Most importantly, we find that first-year Micro and Macro grades are statistically significant predictors of student job placement, even conditional on Ph.D. completion. Conditional on first-year grades, GRE scores, foreign citizenship, sex, and having a prior Masters degree do not predict job placement. Students who attended elite undergraduate universities and liberal arts colleges are more likely to be placed in top ranked academic jobs.

wqylUID: 176809

挺有意思.

ericccUID: 3688880

The Ph.D. admissions committee’s evaluation of a student predicts first-year grades and Ph.D. completion, but not job placement。

Spotty!UID: 3507585

是发在了AER Papers and Proceedings上吧，AER正刊怎么可能刊登这种文章:lol