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Argument216:The following appeared in a magazine article about planning for retirement.
"Because of its spectacular natural beauty and consistent climate, Clearview should be a top choice for anyone seeking a place to retire. As a bonus, housing costs in Clearview have fallen significantly during the past year, and real estate taxes remain lower than those in neighboring towns. Nevertheless, Clearview's mayor promises many new programs to improve schools, streets, and public services. Retirees in Clearview can also expect excellent health care as they grow older, since the number of physicians in the area is far greater than the national average."
395 words
This argument concludes that Clearview is a top choice for anyone to retire, and the author cites several facts as Clearview’s advantages, compared with its neighboring towns, to support this conclusion. I find this argument weak, for several reasons.
Firstly, Clearview’s spectacular natural beauty doesn’t necessarily come into the first concern of all retirees. Common sense informs us that retirees attach more importance to its welfare system instead of the natural landscape. Besides, some retirees prefer to choose a place where his or her relatives live, or even enjoy changing seasons. Based on the above analysis, the author’s recommendation seems to be too hasty.
Second, the fact that housing costs in Clearview have fallen significantly during the past year, and real estate taxes remain lower than its neighboring towns lends little substantial support to the author’s conclusion. Perhaps Clearview’s housing costs are still higher than the nearby towns even if they have fallen greatly, and it is also possible that other expenses in Clearview are much higher than its neighboring towns. Without ruling out these possibilities, the author’s recommendation that Clearview is a top choice for retirees remains unconvincing.
Thirdly, the promised new programs of Clearview's mayor to improve its schools, streets and public services are not sufficient to support the author’s conclusion, for that we don’t know whether these program will take effect in the foreseeable future. Thus, the author’s recommendation to choose Clearview to retire is still unpersuasive, at least based on this argument.
Finally, the greater-than-average number of Clearview's physicians doesn’t guarantee that the per capita number is also greater than average. Even if that the per capita number is great now, it is entirely possible that it will decrease as the immigration of many retirees, considering the heavy burden put on health-care resources by retirees.
In sum, this argument suffers from several critical flaws. Before I can accept its conclusion, I need to know what the most important factor is for most retirees to choose a place to retire. And I also need to know Clearview's living expenses, including its housing costs, and compare them with those of its neighboring towns. Besides, I also need to know whether the new programs cited in this argument will truly go into effect in the foreseeable future, and whether its per capita number of physicians will reduce due to the coming of many retirees. |
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