ARGUMENT117【Aero小组】第10次作业 by bigyan

bigyanUID: 2382427

In this argument, the author concluded that with the increment on the supply of home word machines, the department will become the most profitable component of the company. And to support this point, the author takes the latest survey and analyze to the market as the evidence to come to the conclusion. However, a couple of obvious fallacy and obscure factor, which may lead to a premature notion, has been not suppose to be overlooked before that.
First of all, the survey fails to convince me the reality of the result. The respondents present their own thoughts, but the rest ones, who have not answered the survey yet, may not make the same choice .If the number of latter is much more than of respondents, it is probability that the workload is the same as much as before. In addition, the survey is unable to manifest itself in the component of the respondents. Under the circumstance, I hardly see their kind of career, their age, even their position in the company. In one word, data, as the elements, is comprehensive or not determines the correction of the conclusion.
Secondly, the arguer hastily gains to the point that all market should increase the stock of the home office machine and supplies with the consideration of this work-at-home trend. Obviously, if the phenomenon in the survey exists in a limited area, there is no need to order all the stores to take the same action. In that case, the superfluous investment in the other area can leads to more unnecessary waste and burden, which goes against the development and increasing profit.
Finally, the arguer unfairly comes to the assumption that their department will become the most profitable component of the store with the changes. However, in business, the increase in the number of product does not necessarily indicate the increase in the profit, which is determined by the interplay of many factors. In fact, after adjustment for inflation, the demands and supply or the cost, a simple origin may carry good profit. For supporting example, as long as the cost goes up, the store must lose more desirable profit than before.    
In the conclusion, the argument fails to convince me that all the Valu-Mark should increase the relative product on time according to the survey . Without considering the fallacy in the survey, we may be cheated by the superficial conduct. After all, a great deal of complicated factor lead to a simple .If we are masked by the superficiality, we will fall in the pitfall unconsciously.