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提纲都懒得写了 实在是太痛苦了写的
Issue 25: “Anyone can make things bigger and more complex. What requires real effort and courage is to move in the opposite direction – in other words, to make things as simple as possible.”
I agree with the arguer in that making things as simple as possible requires real effort and courage. However, making things bigger and more complex is not something that should be despised. In fact, different fields of people’s lives require different directions of movement, and simplicity is not what everyone wants.
Scientists in are always praised for explaining complicated stuff in an easy way. However, how can they derive one simple conclusion without doing months of years of researches? In order to prove a specific factor leads to a certain result, scientists have to do lots of complicated experiments in which they use many control groups to prevent the possibility of alternate explanation. While the conclusion might seem simple, both the way the constructed the series of experiments and how they summarize the experiment results do require real effort and courage.
When we are using desktop computers to take this test, we should realize that not very long ago, a computer could not even fit on a desk. It was at one time big as a room, then as a fridge, only decades later, it could be put on a desk, then on one’s laps, then in one’s hand. The operation system, on the other hand, becomes more and more complicated in that the system now, with the help of more and more software’s, can do hundreds and thousands of times what the first system could have done. We can see that going bigger and going more complex do not always happen at the same time. The fact is that the size of computers and how complex the CPUs are moves in complete opposite direction. Undoubtedly, computer engineers put great efforts in making the inner part of the computers complex enough to let people use them easily.
For the employees in research and development department and designers in different industries, it is important that what they work hard and come up with products that are not “as simple as possible”, because it would be hard for them to differentiate themselves and their works from their contemporaries. On the consumers’ side, the situation would be more disastrous because they will face the fact that everything are simple, no decoration on furniture, no added flavors in coffee, and no user-friendly interface on their PDAs.
In sum, it is not true that anyone, without efforts and courage, can make things bigger and more complex. Scientists need complete experiments to support their seemingly simple conclusions. Producers and designers have to work on how to make their products attractive to the buyers, and thus simplicity should not be the only thing that they are after. In order to achieve the goal to make the society a better place to live in, and to increase people’s living standard, there are almost certain that a time of making things complicated occurs.
![](https://oss.x-php.com/smile/UMtoye4vPhYu5L5J0p9uHyjNU0-OZ1XTgMTlKppuxzfmJDMyOGI~)
45. Arctic deer
Since the temperature of habitat of arctic deer is very limited, any change in local weather can lead to the change in deer population. The editorial above pointed out that global warming has caused the sea ice to melt and this made the deer unable to follow their migration patterns, and lead to a declining of deer populations. This reasoning procedure contains several facets that are questionable and I will discuss each of them in turn.
First, the claim of deer populations’ declining was solely based on the observation local hunters. Although hunters are generally accepted as experts in spotting a change in the deer group, they are not like scientists in that they do not keep a record of what they see everyday. The credibility of these reports thus became uncertain. Also, the hunters usually stay at spots on the island where they think the deer appear most frequently so that they can get the most from their hunting, but what if the deer group somehow figured this out and changed their daily routes to prevent life losses?
Even if the hunters’ observation was solid and the deer have been following the same routes on the island, the concurrence of their reports and recent global warming trends does not imply a causal relationship between them. In the first part of the paragraph, the author claimed that the weather does not have to be cold enough for the whole year but “some of the year”. This made the global warming decreases population assumption very plausible. As long as there is enough time for the ice to cover the sea separating the islands, the deer should be fine from the effects of global warming.
Finally, even if the global warming was the criminal who kills deer, the editorial failed to show which specific effect was the reason. As we all know, global warming can cause lots of problems and melted sea ice was just one of them. The deer might not be able to live with the increased temperature. The plants that the deer fed on might be flooded by the water melted from the sea ice or died because of the higher temperature. This can be detrimental to the deer because their food source would be cut. In a word, being unable to follow “their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea” was probably not the only reason, if not the wrong reason, why the deer population decreased.
To sum up, the conclusion that the author made was based on a not-so-stable resource, and he or she then relate the unstable resource and global warming trend together as a pair of cause and result. Moreover, this editorial lacks of explanation why it was the cut of the deer’s migration patterns which caused the decline in population. |
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