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本帖最后由 wisle 于 2009-8-2 22:40 编辑
TOPIC: ARGUMENT7 - The following appearedin a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.
"In the next mayoral election,residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the GoodEarth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview towncouncil, because the current members are not protecting our environment. Forexample, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled,air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, theenvironmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."
WORDS: 451
遗憾的超时!!!首次感觉贯彻了一些思想摒弃了传统的束缚!
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The arguer sets up a conclusion-voting for Ann Green-by well-grounded logical successive reasoning,which consists of two branches: Frank Braun is not protecting our environmentand Ann Green is a member of the Good Earth Coalition. However, it turns out that, if look critically, the unstable buttresses weaken the conclusion. No doubt, the central concept of this reasoning is from these two branches.
The firstreasoning is that Frank Braunthe are not protecting the environment as he is a member of Clearview town council and the current members are not protecting the environment. A major suspicion that whether Frank Braun will really not protect the environment has blocked access to the assertion. It is difficult to convincethat current members of Clearview don't protect then Frank Braun does so. Instead F is supposed to advocate the protection of the environment. Possibly, currentmembers don't protect environment since the financial crisis which lead thegovernment has no money to protect it.
Next, by looking back along this reasoning line, our attentions focus on the analysis of thecausation between the doubled factories and the air pollution. A point worthpondering is that these factories don't product any gas when they product theirgoods. Factories’ main products, for example, are souvenirs. Moreover, the correlation between air pollution and respiratory illnesses is open to doubt.Possibly correct though it remains to be, we can boldly speculate that respiratory illnesses are caused by other reasons, such as cold orsensitiveness for certain flowers as air pollution is not the sufficient factorto the illnesses. Without further founded explanation for these concerns, theassertion is crippling.
Ultimately, eventhough the first line of reasoning can be neglected, the illation in the second reasoning is still doubtful. It is reasonable to question that whether the Good Earth Coalition is an organization for environment. Maybe it is an organizationfor protecting animals. Even if its goal is for protecting the environment,there are no certainly evidences to say Ann Green can solve the environmentproblems. The environment problems are complex and sticky problem for everygovernment in the world since they involve many interests of various aspects ofsociety. And when it comes to the protecting environment, the authority willmake a balance between economy profits and the environment. Therefore, this assertion that Ann Green can unravel the problem is a far cry from being proved.
Simple put, theevidences cited in this argument are not competent to bolster the conclusion.After all an incorrect decision in a democratic election will bring anunexpected loss rather than gain a big cake. Meanwhile, it is unjust to not vote for Frank Braun sole as he is a member of current council. |
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