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argument38 [0710G-summer小组]第四次作业 by name05
TOPIC: ARGUMENT38 - The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council. "An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism."
提纲:
1、吃鱼与人们去医院少没有直接联系,可能气候或其他原因导致人们不感冒。并不是所有感冒的人都去医院;
2、即使有联系,适用于东部的方法也不一定就适用于西部;
3、即使吃鱼可以预防感冒,那Ichehaid也不一定能达到同样效果,他们是不同的东西;
4、即使上面提到的所有情况都已解决,那也不能把感冒和出勤率联系起来。
In this memo, the arguer recommend that the use of Ichehaid derived from fish oil would heal colds, the very reasons that responsible for the absenteeism. To support his recommendation, he cites a report which suggests that there is a relationship between the fewer colds of people and the higher consumption of fish in East Meria. He also assumes that colds are the most reason for the absence of school and work. At first glance, it suffers from several vulnerable logical flaws, not to mention more reflection.
The first problem with the argument is that it unfairly assumes that highly consumption of fish is the reason of fewer visit to doctor. On the one hand, we should consider whether the fewer colds are the result of warm and little changing of climate all year or not in the East. On the other hand, not all people who catch colds visit doctor; and what’s more, people visit doctor does not means they catches colds so fewer, because many people chose to stay at home to having a rest and take some pills when catch colds. Without these data, the author can not convince me that the study is credible to reveal a relationship between fish eating and fewer colds.
Even assuming the relationship does exists, whether the same strategy could be applied to the West is still a question. There might be variety of differences between the two areas, such as environment, climate, living habits and so forth, making the analogy highly suspected.
Even assuming eating fish can avoid catching colds, however, it is improperly to say that daily use of Ichthaid could cure colds as effective as fish eating, because no evidence was provided in this memo. Though eating fish could cure colds, it dose mean the fish oil has the same function and even could not guarantee the same effect of some components of fish oil as Ichthaid. For the reason is that it is an abstractive process from fish to fish oil and to Ichthaid, which we still don’t know if all components remains in Ichthaid. Thus this statement is unwarranted.
Before I come to my conclusion, it is necessary to point out that even if all the factors mentioned above are solved, the author could still not say that reduce the chance of catching cold would undoubtedly reduce the absenteeism. Because he provides no evidence of how many people’s absenteeism are the results of colds, perhaps colds are only excuses of avoiding going to school as we all know.
In sum, the author’s analysis and advocations are insufficient. To make this memo more convincing, he should provide more information with regard to if fish eating dose could cure colds in the East; if environment, climate and people’s living habits are the same in both East and West of Meria; and, moreover, the function of Ichthaid.
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