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发表于 2007-8-19 21:11:38
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TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have longsuspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healingquickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been provedby preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The firstgroup of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr.Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibioticsregularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, onaverage, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in thesecond group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, weregiven sugar pills, although the patients believed they were takingantibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantlyreduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strainwould be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
WORDS: 349 TIME: 00:27:51 DATE: 2007-8-19 12:21:44
In this analysis, thearguer attempts to convince us that all patients who suffer musclestrain should be advised to take antibiotics which seemly have positiveeffects on their treatment. To substantiate this conclusion, the authorcites a study of two groups of patients and makes a result that therecuperation time was somewhat quicker. While this argument has somemerits, several conspicuous flaws seriously undermine the line ofreasoning.个人认为你除了单纯复述+无关紧要的末尾一句:”论证有错误“外,是否可以点个中心思想呢:实验结论不可靠,盲目推广。
First of all, theresults of the study are basically preliminary which indicate that theoutcome is somewhat groundless and unconvincing. Perhaps the healingvelocity of patients is fast at first and gradually slows down becauseof the declining effect of antibiotics medicine or the [resistant]effect of body to the antibiotics medicine. Without get the ultimateresult of this experiment, author can not draw this [consumptious]conclusion that antibiotics medicine has positive effect in thetreatment of muscle strain.
Even assuming thatthe result is acceptable, there are some [suspective] points lyingwithin the course of the experiment. Are the attendees are random andrepresentative? If the patients of the first group is stronger and haveadvantages in their [defencing] ability, their [recovering] period is,of course, shorter than that of the second group with much frailerpatients. Whether the attendees of the two groups are in the similarhealth conditions are a vital prerequisite element behind this study.补充:医生的不同,护理方式会影响结果
Even [assumpting] assuming that both the course and the result of this study is reasonable, theconclusion makes the oversimplification fault. Whether the musclestrain patients must take the antibiotics [therapy]? Even we believethat the antibiotics have effect on muscle strain, but, if theantibiotics medicines have strong [negative] aspect on the futurehealth of patients? Without further study on bad [effects] ofantibiotics medicine, drawing such hasty conclusion is irresponsibleand, moreover, dangerous for patients.部分与第一点论证重复
In summary, thisargument is not persuasive as it stands. To make it logicallyacceptable, the [author] must rule out the evidence that the attendeesare similar between two groups and no [disastrous] effect potential harmness ofantibiotics medicine for future lives of patients.
斑竹好
总体感觉:思路乱 我的提纲
1、实验不是假设的有力证据:无法说明有二次感染。实验者也未必是严重肌肉损伤,无法证明是二次感染影响恢复速度。
2、实验设置不对:体质,损伤程度,两个医生的护理区别等
3、即使实验证明假设,推广假设到所有肌肉损伤者未必合适:副作用,效果明显不,对不严重的病人用antibiotics 是否多此一举?
你的段落组织不够。对论点的批判扩展可多写 Iris批
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