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- 声望
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TOPIC: ARGUMENT137 - The following appeared in an editorial in the Mason City newspaper.
"At present, Mason City residents seldom use the nearby Mason River for any kind of recreational activity, even though surveys of the region's residents consistently rank water sports (swimming, fishing, and boating) as a favorite form of recreation. Since there have been complaints about the quality of the water in the river, residents must be avoiding the river because they think that it is not clean enough. But that situation is about to change: the agency responsible for rivers in our region has announced plans to clean up Mason River. Therefore, recreational use of the river is likely to increase, so the Mason City council will need to increase its budget for improvements to the publicly owned lands along the Mason River."
WORDS:509 TIME: 00:40:15 DATE: 2008-7-30 21:36:51
In this argument, the speaker recommends that the Mason City council (MCC) should increase its budget for improvements to the publicly owned land along the Mason River (MR). To support his recommendation, he points out the MR's water will become cleaner because of the promise of agency, and then many people will do water sports again. However, the argument is specious on several grounds, rendering the argument unconvincing as it stands.
On the first glance, the speaker unfairly assumes that people avoid the river because of they think it is not clean enough. Yet, a correlation between the both cannot be demonstrated to be true. The only evidence provided by the speaker is some complaints about the quality of the water. Yet, the speaker fails to provide more information that the source of the complaints, the percentage of residents who complain the quality of the water, the rate of the residents who did the water sports to the total and so on. Lacking of the evidence, the speaker conclude vaguely the assertion that due to the decline of the quality of the water in MR, the residents do not favor the water sports in MR again.
In addition, the speaker also cites the promise from the agency responsible for river which they plan to clean up MR. Yet, the promise is little indication that they will actually clean up MR. It is entirely possible that the pollution in the MR is so serious that they cannot adequate at all. Or perhaps the source of the MR has been polluted so serious that they cannot clean up at all. Even if they can clean up the MR, whether the residents will favor the water sports again is problematic. Perhaps, during a sufficiently long interim period, the hobbies of residents have change to basketball, football and so on. If it is the case, the promise from the agency cannot convince me.
Finally, the suggestion that increasing the budget for improvements to the publicly owned land along the MR is problematic. The speaker does not point out the necessity of improving the budget for the publicly owned land, nor does he point out the correlation between improvement to the publicly owned land and the residents’ favorite recreation. It is doubt that people will be back to the water sports in MR after the improvement of publicly owned land. On the contrary, increasing the budget for improvements to the publicly owned lands along the MR will make other possible negative effects—are not being considered now, in which case the speaker’s suggestion will be a bad one.
In conclusion, this is a weak argument. To strengthen it, the speaker must provide evidence that due to the pollution of RM, residents refused to do their favorite water sports on MR. Also, the speaker must demonstrate that the agency can clean up the water and increasing the budget for improvement to owned land is useful. To better assess the argument, the speaker should consider and eliminate all other possible positive and negative effects from the suggestion. |
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