Argument51【0906G 文以载道三月四月小组】第2周第2次作业 by zeyiwang

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"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle
strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of
patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics
regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically
expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although
the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced.
Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their
treatment."

医生长期以来怀疑严重肌肉扭伤后的二次感染妨碍了一些患者迅速康复。这一假说现在被一项对两组患者的研究的初步结果所证实。第一组患
者全部由专攻运动医学的Dr. Newland治疗肌肉损伤，他们在疗程中经常服用抗生素。他们的康复期平均比通常预期的快40％。第二组患者
由综合医师Dr. Alton治疗，他们被给予糖丸，而患者相信他们在服用抗生素。他们的平均康复时间没有明显缩短。因此，任何被确诊为肌肉
损伤的患者应被建议服用抗生素作为辅助治疗。

提纲:1.在对比试验组中,没有考虑个体差异,比如受伤部位的不同可能导致康复时间的不同;即使受伤部位一样,每个人的康复期仍然不同.
     2.实验的具体细节没有介绍,比如数量,年龄,受伤的程度(医生质疑的是严重的肌肉扭伤,如果实验中的病人都是轻度扭伤,那肯定是没有意义
的),性别等等,因为最后的结论是对所有的病人.
     3.副作用,价格因素,是否需要特殊的储存条件等等

In this newsletter, the arguer recommends that all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to
take antibiotics as part of their treatment. To validate his recommendation, he points out that a study which involves two
groups of patients has proved that the use of antibiotics is really effective for increasing the patients' recuperation time.
However, a close scrutiny of these evidences reveals that none of them lend convincing support for the recommendation.

To begin with, the detail information of the two groups of patients was not provided, and it is entirely possible that the
injuries parts of the first group's patients who actually take antibiotics are the ones having lower risk of secondary
infections which are unliky exposed to the open air or any other place full of virus. Consequently, the increase of
recuperation time has nothing to do with the usage of antibiotics. What's more: the possibility that any other factor might
take an impact on the conclusion has not been ruled out. For instants, the interpersonal difference of these patients is a
significant one, and different individual has totally different ability of refresh, such as atheltics and normal people, women
and men, children and the senior. Without ruling out all the possiblities,I still remain unconvinced on the conclusion.

Even assuming that the antibiotics has exactly good effects on reduce of recuperation time, the arguer’s recommendation
that all patients are required to take antibiotics is unwarranted and hast. May it bring about some unexpected side effects?
It is not mentioned by the arguer; furthermore, the project of judging the side effects on a certain kind of drug is
complicated and difficult, especially when it comes to new invented drugs and it usually takes decades to show up. And it is
hast to recommend all the patients to take it.

Finally, even if there is no side effects, the price of antibiotics is an evitable element. Are there any other drugs which
have almost the same effects but have much lower price? Is it worthy to spread the antibiotics to every hosiptal especially
when considering some of those are still in bad condition and more effective medicinal instrument is needed? Need they a
special storage method? The arguer fails to consider all the possibilities.

To sum up, the arguer's recommendation of the widespread use of antibiotics is open to doubt. To validate this point, he
needs provide more concrete evidence to demonstrate that without side effects it is really bring about positive effects on
patients at a lower price. In addition, the arguer should have to rule out the abovementioned possibilities that would
undermine the validity of recommendation.

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on liuguagua
A51
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