- 最后登录
- 2007-11-5
- 在线时间
- 0 小时
- 寄托币
- 125
- 声望
- 0
- 注册时间
- 2006-10-1
- 阅读权限
- 15
- 帖子
- 0
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 93
- UID
- 2258006

- 声望
- 0
- 寄托币
- 125
- 注册时间
- 2006-10-1
- 精华
- 0
- 帖子
- 0
|
TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
syllabus:
A. First of all, the author’s argument based on the irrational assumption that secondary infections would probably happen.
B. In the second place, the author’s argument that the antibiotics would reduce the recuperation time based on the two groups is unconvincing
C. In the third place, assuming that the experiment of these two groups indicates that the antibiotics could decline the recuperation time, it is not necessarily implied that all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment.
In this argument, the author suggests that all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment. To support this suggestion, the author shows us a contract experiment between two groups of patients, the result indicates that the antibiotics can reduce the recuperation time. However, this experiment is unconvincing and the author's suggestion is irrational.
First of all, the author's argument based on the irrational assumption that secondary infections would probably occur in the muscle strain is unconvincing. It is only suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain, not muscle strain. The author mistakes the severe muscle strain as the general muscle strain. Even in the severe muscle strain, the secondary infections are suspected. No evidence shows that the patient suffering from the muscle strain would get secondary infections.
In the second place, the author's conclusion that the antibiotics would reduce the recuperation time based on the two groups is unconvincing. Let us see the two groups. The first group suffering from the muscle strain and their doctor specializes in sports medicine. What disease the second group suffering from is unknown, and their doctor is a general physician. The first doctor may be more professional in dealing with the muscle strain, so the patient in the first group could recover much more quickly. And since there is no information about the patients, we can not decide whether the two groups of patients are equal in contrasting. Maybe the patients in the first group is much stronger than those in the second group, as a result, they probably could recover from muscle strain much more quickly that the patients of the second group.
In the third place, assuming that the experiment results of these two groups indicate that the antibiotics could decline the recuperation time, it is not necessarily implied that all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment. The doctors do not take experiments in considering whether the antibiotics will have side-effect on the patients who take them regularly. May be the antibiotics will do harm to certain kind of people, and this harm will not reveal until long time has passed.
In conclusion, the author does not give us sufficient evidence to prove that all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain should be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment. It is better for the author to take more experiments on the side-effect of the antibiotic pills and take a more convincing controlled experiment to show that the antibiotics are effective in reducing the recuperation time.
30分钟只写了362个字,拿到word里面修改了一下,加了100个字,呵呵。欢迎狠狠地拍。 |
|