TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
The arguer shows us a hypothesis made by doctors and concludes that all patients with muscle strain should take antibiotics as an addition to their treatment. The hypothesis is that secondary infections may prevent patients who suffers severe muscle strain from being cured quickly. The arguer presents an experiment made by two doctors to support his conclusion. It is not difficult to find some fatal fallacies from the arguer's discussion.
The arguer failed to show us the injury extent of the two groups of people in the experiment which was being presented as his evidence to support the conclusion. We can make an extreme hypothesis to show this fault. If the first group of patients only suffered from some relatively slight muscle wounds in the experiment and all those people in the second group were patients with very severe muscle strain, we can tell that it was not the effect of those antibiotics who had shortened their suffering time. In this case, it is not weird to see that the first group of people healed quicker. So, the experiment failed to support the arguer's conclusion.
Even if the two groups of people in the experiment took the equal condition of their wounds, the arguer can not concludes that all patients with muscle strain should take antibiotics for healing. The specific number of those two groups of people is unknow. If this number is very small, you can only conclude that the hypothesis is only effective in a small group of people and whether the antibiotics should be taken by all patients with muscle strain is not clear. The result from an experiment which only includes a small amount of patients can not be used on all the patients.
Given the fallacies above, the arguer's conclusion is ineffective.