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TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
1.以下两方面说明两个实验没有可比性,不能够证明医生一直怀疑的理论是正确的。
A.两个实验中的病人可能存在差异,没有可比性。不能支持
B.两个实验中的医生不同,以及服药的方式(regularly)不同。同样没有可比性
2.即使医生的这个理论是正确的,也不能得出题目中的结论。
In this argument, the author offered a suggestion to all patients who suffered muscle strain to take antibiotics while receiving other treatment according to a supposition, which is supported by a experiment presented, from doctors that these patients may be kept from healing quickly by secondary infections. However, the way of taking experiment suffers several flaws that make the results unconvincing, so they cannot be used as a reason. Meanwhile, the conclusion cannot be obtained absolutely from the supposition. I will discuss them below.
In a scientific research, if scientists want to get the influence from one variable to results, a premise is the insurance of other factors' constancy. In this experiment, besides antibiotics taken, there are other variables mentioned, such as patients' body condition, doctors and treatment with a result of the premise failed to achieve, unfortunately. So, the results of the experiment can not make doctors' supposition correct.
On one hand, the argument did not make sure that the patients in two groups are in a same healthy condition which involves ability to recover themselves and injury degree. Common knowledge tells us that recovering ability, which is a factor to influence recovering time, is different among people. Admittedly, no experiment can recruit patients with accurately same abilities, but at least patients with same age, sex and figure are needed. Moreover, even if having a same ability to recover, ones with light injuries can recover faster than those with severe injuries. In the argument, these healthy conditions of the patients are not mentioned, from which we may speculate that the patients in the first group had less recuperation time because of a better recovering ability or less severe injuries than those in the second group, not the function of antibiotics. Therefore, from this point of view, the results of the experiment are not reliable.
On the other hand, in the experiment, doctors treated the two groups are different, one specializes in sports medicine and other is a general physician, who we suppose was trying his best. Obviously, a doctor majored in sports medicine is more professional than a general one and is able to give a better treatment to patients, making them recover faster. Furthermore, we mention that Dr. Newland, doctor of the first group, provided patients with antibiotics regularly, but Dr. Alton did not give sugar pills on time. An extremely conclusion could be made from it that sugar pills have the same function with antibiotics, which did not work due to not taken regularly. So, the difference between doctors and treatments also make the experiment unsound.
Even though the supposition of doctors is correct, the conclusion in the argument can not be obtained that all patients should take antibiotics, which is groundless. In the supposition, doctors only believe that a secondary infection may make patients recover for a longer time after muscle strain. Firstly, as we can not make sure that taking antibiotics is a effective way to prevent a secondary infection that doctors hope, how can a conclusion be made like that? Secondly, now that we know there are many degrees of injuries, severe or light, one question may emerges, should those with light degree take antibiotics to prevent a infection that will not occur? We are not sure about that, either.
In sum, from discussion above, we are able to discover several mistakes in the reasoning process. An imprecise researching way makes the experiment can not support the doctors' supposition; and the conclusion can not be got from the supposition. Only when the way of experiment was improved and more information about doctors' supposition was provided may a conclusion in the argument be made. |
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