Argument42 写的好象有点感觉了，谢谢拍~~

@amy@UID: 209096

题目
Argument42 The following appeared in a proposal from the economic minister of the country of Paraterra.

"In order to strengthen its lagging economy, last year the government of the nearby country of Bellegea began an advertising campaign to promote ecologically sound tourism (ecotourism). This year the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport doubled, and per capita income in Bellegea increased by ten percent. To provide more income for the population of Paraterra and also preserve the natural environment of our tiny country, we too should begin to promote ecotourism. To ensure that our advertising campaign is successful, we should hire the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant for the campaign."

翻译：临近城市Bellegea的政府为促进其落后的经济，去年开展了一项对生态旅游的广告推广。今年到达Bellegea主要机场的外国游客数量翻了一番，人均收入增加了10％。为增加Paraterra居民的收入并保护我们有限国土的天然环境，我们也应该推广生态旅游。为保证我们广告策略的成功，我们应该雇佣Bellegea现任国家旅游局的主任来担任广告的顾问。

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提纲
（1）到达机场的游客翻番不能说明什么问题，有可能是因为航线的设置问题，很多去别的国家的游客不得不在Bellegea中转，而并不是来旅游的。人均收入增加10%也不能说明什么，有可能是因为通货膨胀，或者其它方面的收入。
（2）不应该盲目的仿照别人的方法，应该结合自己国家的实际情况发展经济。而且发展旅游肯定会在一定程度上破坏环境。
（3）即使学习Bellegea的做法真的有效，也不一定要聘请Bellegea的国家旅游局主任来担任广告顾问，这应该去聘请专业的人士，而且Bellegea的主任也许会为了防止自己国家的旅游业遭到Paraterra的竞争而不真正出力。

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字数：423 words
时间：提纲（10分钟）+正文（45分钟） = 55分钟
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正文
In this argument, the economic minister of Paraterra suggests to promote ecotourism in Paraterra like Bellegea in order to increase people's income and preserve the natural environment. He supports his suggestion by the fact that last year by doing this, the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport doubled and per capita income increased by 10%. He also suggests hiring the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant to ensure Paraterra's advertising campaign successful. At first glance, the arguer's suggestion seems reasonable, but after carefully examination, we can find out several flaws as follows.

First of all, we can find that there is no evidence to prove the number of foreign visitors and per capita income increase has direct relation with the ecotourism program. In other words, the double of foreign visitors can hardly reveal anything until enough evidence is provided. It is very possible that this year many flight courses were changed, as a result, many tourists have to change flight at Bellegea airport; that is, they are not visitors for Bellegea. Similarly, just the figure of 10% increase of per capita income also has little persuasion. Maybe inflation or other reasons result in the increase. Therefore, in this case, the arguer has to provide more convincing evidence.

Secondly, the arguer is too cursory to make the suggestion because the situations of two countries may have great differences, even if their locations are very near, so just to copy other's method cannot do and to find a suitable way is wise selection. What is more, to develop tourism is sure to destroy the environment to some extent. So whether develop tourism program in Paraterra still need to be considered seriously.

Finally, granted that the Bellegea's method can also do benefit to Paraterra, does Paraterra really need to hire the Bellegea's tourism office director as consultant? The answer is certainly not. Whether to do this is helpful or harmful is still doubtable. On the one hand, to process the advertisement, advertising experts should be the primary person selected. On the other hand, Bellegea's director maybe not tries his best to help Bellegea for the sake of preventing Bellegea's tourism from being influenced by Paraterra's.

To sum up, the economic minister's suggestion is not convincing because it lacks of enough strong evidence. The arguer fails to consider the actual reason for Bellegea's changes and fails to study the situation differences between Bellegea and Paraterra. Consequently, to make his suggestion acceptable, he should take the facets discussed above into account.

智恩UID: 2160717

In this argument, the economic minister of Paraterra suggests to promote ecotourism in Paraterra like Bellegea in order to increase people's income and preserve the natural environment. He supports his suggestion by the fact that last year by doing this, the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport doubled and per capita income increased by 10%. He also suggests hiring the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant to ensure Paraterra's advertising campaign successful（success）. At first glance, the arguer's suggestion seems reasonable, but after carefully examination, we can find out several flaws as follows.

First of all, we can find that there is no evidence to prove the number of foreign visitors and per capita income increase has direct relation with the ecotourism program. In other words, the double of foreign visitors can hardly reveal anything until enough evidence is provided. It is very possible that this year many flight courses were changed, as a result, many tourists have to change flight at Bellegea airport; that is, they are not visitors for Bellegea. Similarly, just the figure of 10% increase of per capita income also has little persuasion. Maybe inflation or other reasons result in the increase. Therefore, in this case, the arguer has to provide more convincing evidence.

Secondly, the arguer is too cursory to make the suggestion because the situations of two countries may have great differences, even if their locations are very near, so just to copy other's method cannot do and to find a suitable way is （a） wise selection. What is more, to develop tourism is sure to destroy the environment to some extent. So whether develop tourism program in Paraterra still need to be considered seriously.

Finally, granted that the Bellegea's method can also do benefit to Paraterra, does Paraterra really need to hire the Bellegea's tourism office director as （a）consultant? The answer is certainly not. Whether to do this is helpful or harmful is still doubtable. On the one hand, to process the advertisement, advertising experts should be the primary person selected. On the other hand, Bellegea's director maybe not tries（try） his best to help Bellegea for the sake of preventing Bellegea's tourism from being influenced by Paraterra's.

To sum up, the economic minister's suggestion is not convincing because it lacks of enough strong evidence. The arguer fails to consider the actual reason for Bellegea's changes and fails to study the situation differences between Bellegea and Paraterra. Consequently, to make his suggestion acceptable, he should take the facets discussed above into account.

总的感觉还是比较清晰，就是最后一段，我一般会提出具体的建议，而不是只是简单的说说，可能两种都可以。上次好像写了50分钟如果我没记错的话，这次减了5分钟还是可以，我还没写，昨天考了试回来，就不想动了，所以就···，会经快补上的

@amy@UID: 209096

In this argument, the economic minister of Paraterra suggests to promote ecotourism in Paraterra like Bellegea in order to increase people's income and preserve the natural environment. He supports his suggestion by the fact that last year by doing this, the number of foreign visitors arriving at Bellegea's main airport doubled and per capita income increased by 10%. He also suggests hiring the current director of Bellegea's National Tourism Office as a consultant to ensure Paraterra's advertising campaign success. At first glance, the arguer's suggestion seems reasonable, but after carefully examination, we can find out several flaws as follows.

First of all, we can find that there is no evidence to prove the number of foreign visitors and per capita income increase has direct relation with the ecotourism program. In other words, the double of foreign visitors can hardly reveal anything until enough evidence is provided. It is very possible that this year many flight courses were changed, as a result, many tourists have to change flight at Bellegea airport; that is, they are not visitors for Bellegea. Similarly, just the figure of 10% increase of per capita income also has little persuasion. Maybe inflation or other reasons result in the increase. Therefore, in this case, the arguer has to provide more convincing evidence.

Secondly, the arguer is too cursory to make the suggestion because the situations of two countries may have great differences, even if their locations are very near, so just to copy other's method cannot do and to find a suitable way is a wise selection. What is more, to develop tourism is sure to destroy the environment to some extent. So whether develop tourism program in Paraterra still need to be considered seriously.

Finally, granted that the Bellegea's method can also do benefit to Paraterra, does Paraterra really need to hire the Bellegea's tourism office director as a consultant? The answer is certainly not. Whether to do this is helpful or harmful is still doubtable. On the one hand, to process the advertisement, advertising experts should be the primary person selected. On the other hand, Bellegea's director maybe not try his best to help Bellegea for the sake of preventing Bellegea's tourism from being influenced by Paraterra's.

To sum up, the economic minister's suggestion is not convincing because it lacks of enough strong evidence. The arguer fails to consider the actual reason for Bellegea's changes and fails to study the situation differences between Bellegea and Paraterra. Consequently, to make his suggestion acceptable, he should take the facets discussed above into account.

智恩UID: 2160717

amy,这道题其实还有其他地方可以攻击：
比如，P国是否有足够的资源来发展ecotourism；
（3）即使学习Bellegea的做法真的有效，也不一定要聘请Bellegea的国家旅游局主任来担任广告顾问，这应该去聘请专业的人士，而且Bellegea的主任也许会为了防止自己国家的旅游业遭到Paraterra的竞争而不真正出力。，这一点还可以说点其他的，比如，没有证据说明B国ecotourism的发展是因为广告打得好，而且没有证据说那个主任了解我国的情况。这样的话，可以再多写点字。

@amy@UID: 209096

呵呵，多谢提醒，我再改~~