TOPIC: ARGUMENT45 - The following appeared as an editorial in a wildlife journal.
"Arctic deer live on islands in Canada's arctic region. They search for food by moving over ice from island to island during the course of a year. Their habitat is limited to areas warm enough to sustain the plants on which they feed, and cold enough, at least some of the year, for the ice to cover the sea separating the islands, allowing the deer to travel over it. Unfortunately, according to reports from local hunters, the deer populations are declining. Since these reports coincide with recent global warming trends that have caused the sea ice to melt, we can conclude that the decline in arctic deer populations is the result of deer being unable to follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea."
WORDS: 371 TIME: 00:48:12 DATE: 2007-8-4 14:35:10
The arguer claims that for the reason younger deer can not follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea induce the decline in arctic deer populations. Consider the investigation there are several false which may misleading the conclusion that may because other factors such as pollution and disturb by people may lead the decreased of deer population.
In the first place, the arguer recommend habit of deer, at some seasons the deer must travel over some islands which be separated by ice. There are many process may influence on the result, such as no sufficient food, the weather turn warm make the ice too thick to get through. There no evidence that younger dear can not following the age-old migration patterns. If destroy of migration patterns still exist but it is still can be consider as the primary reason for the decline population that may contains other new migration pattern. Such as the help of people, who provide food and there are no need for deer to follow their age-old migration.
In the second place, recording reports from local hunters may lack reality. The report from local hunters may basis on their own benefit that may influence on the result of survey. Only from hunter's saying can not make us unwarranted conclusion that the number of deer declined. They may feel difficult to hunt a deer for the number of hunter increased boost. With more hunters, a hunter may hardly hunt a deer that may introduce the illusion that deer population becomes decreased. This reason may be another reason introduces the decline of deer population.
In the third place, the global warming tendency may be able to not influence the weather these region which site in Canada's arctic region. There is no evidence that the weather of that region influence on the global warming tendency. And show no evidence about the change of climate affect frozen density of ice can not support the weight of the deer.
In sum, without consider the reality of deer population decreased and other factors, we cannot get the conclusion that the decline of the number of the deer is reference to the global warming which introduce the change of deer old-migration pattern.
The arguer claims that for the reason younger deer can not follow their age-old migration patterns across the frozen sea induce the decline in arctic deer populations. Consider the investigation there are several false which may misleading the conclusion that may because other factors such as pollution and disturb by people may lead the decreased of deer population.
In the first place, the arguer recommend habit of deer, at some seasons the deer must travel over some islands which be separated by ice. There are many process may influence on the result, such as no sufficient food, the weather turn warm make the ice too thick to get through. There no evidence that younger dear can not following the age-old migration patterns. If destroy of migration patterns still exist but it is still can be consider as the primary reason for the decline population that may contains other new migration pattern. Such as the help of people, who provide food and there are no need for deer to follow their age-old migration. (去不了m p没什么大不了,有可能其他地方更好,不定会减少;就算减少鹿减少跟天气变化无关,没米没盐也会死, 攻击顺序有些不对)
In the second place, recording reports from local hunters may lack reality. The report from local hunters may basis on their own benefit that may influence on the result of survey. Only from hunter's saying can not make us unwarranted conclusion that the number of deer declined. They may feel difficult to hunt a deer for the number of hunter increased boost. With more hunters, a hunter may hardly hunt a deer that may introduce the illusion that deer population becomes decreased. This reason may be another reason introduces the decline of deer population.(hunters, 这次调查有几个人,一个还是两个,估计都在放屁,他们怎么知道的,是不是他们运气不好,还是太懒了根本没出去打猎,还是说他们去打猎其他的动物了,也有说他们是专门猎这种鹿的嘛,反正很可能是放屁)
In the third place, the global warming tendency may be able to not influence the weather these region which site in Canada's arctic region. There is no evidence that the weather of that region influence on the global warming tendency. And show no evidence about the change of climate affect frozen density of ice can not support the weight of the deer.(天气变暖怎么了,我就觉得这里可能温度低了,就算天气真变暖了,mp就不能走了么,说不定只能到我大拇指,而且有证据说这些鹿不会游泳么? 我就觉得它们都已经过去了)
In sum, without consider the reality of deer population decreased and other factors, we cannot get the conclusion that the decline of the number of the deer is reference to the global warming which introduce the change of deer old-migration pattern. (把speaker 狂贬,让他知道胡说八道是要受到无情的鞭策)