[a习作temp] Argument1 【0906G Fight 4月初队】第一周作业 by cicialice [复制链接]

cicialice
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发表于 2009-2-7 01:18:37 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览

本帖最后由 cicialice 于 2009-2-7 13:34 编辑

处女作出炉啦~~~哈哈哈哈~多谢大家批评指正~！嗨~

ARGUMENT01
1.The following appeared in a memorandum written by the vice president of
Nature's Way, a chain of stores selling health food and other
health-related products.
"Previous experience has shown that our stores are most profitable in
areas where residents are highly concerned with leading healthy lives. We
should therefore build our next new store in Plainsville, which has many
such residents. Plainsville merchants report that sales of running shoes
and exercise clothing are at all-time highs. The local health club, which
nearly closed five years ago due to lack of business, has more members
than ever, and the weight training and aerobics classes are always full.
We can even anticipate a new generation of customers: Plainsville's
schoolchildren are required to participate in a 'fitness for life'
program, which emphasizes the benefits of regular exercise at an early
age."
以前的经验显示，我们的商店在那些居民对健康生活高度关注的地区是盈利最多的。因此我们应该把下一家连锁店开设在Plainsville，那里有很多这样的居民。Plainsville的商家报告说运动鞋和运动衣的销售处于历史高点。当地一家五年前因缺乏客源而濒临倒闭的康体俱乐部现在的会员比以往任何时候都多，减肥训练和体操班总是满员。我们还可以预见到新生代的顾客群：Plainsville的在校学生被要求参加一个叫做"终生健康"的项目，它强调从小开始经常锻炼的好处。

1.运动装卖得好不一定当地人就喜欢运动
2.减肥体操班满员不一定人们就会买健康产品
3.孩子被强制要求参加不表示真心喜欢健康生活方式，更不表示会增加健康产品销量
4.喜欢运动不一定会买健康产品
5.人们的生活观念随时会改变，且该连锁店可能已经被其他店面占据商机

This memo recommends that next new store be built in Plainsville, whose residents are considered to be likely to buy health-related products. To support this recommendation, the vice president cites Plainsville merchants report and a series of phenomenon occurring in this area. At first glance, the memo might be somehow reasonable, but close scrutiny of the evidence reveals that it contains seveal logical flaws and is therefore unpersuasive.

To begin with, the vice president assumes that good sales of running shoes and exercise clothing suggests consumers' willingness to buy health-related products in this store. However, the memo provides no evidence to support this assumption. Perhaps these shoes and clothing are in fashion during that period of time; or perhaps consumers prefer the style of these kind of shoes and clothing; or perhaps they are just on sale as it happens. In addition, it is entirely possible that consumers in fact buy these stuffs for others instead of wearing them themselvs in the first place. Without eliminating these possibilities, the vice president cannot rely on Plainsville merchants report to conclude confidently that residents in Plainsville are interested in exercise - let alone buying health-related products from their store.

The other problem with the memo is that the mere fact that the weight training and aerobics classes are full is scant evidence of residents' passion to buy health-related products. Perhaps residents are simply intersted in weight training and aerobics classes, and they feel other kinds of exercise extremely boring. Or perhaps the local health club's equipments and environment have an apparent increase, attracting a large numbers of members from the nearby areas. Since the memo fails to rule out these or some other explanations, I cannot accept any conclusion about people's willingness to buy those products from this new store.

The memo also unfirely assumes that since Plainsville's schoolchildren are required to participate in a 'fitness for life' program, they would be willing to take active part in this program and therefore be interested in exercise. Yet the memo provides no evidence to substantiate this assumption. More importantly, schoolchildren are apparently not direct consumers. Even if they are in favor of sports, they might not have enough money or not have the desire to ask their parents to buy health-related products for them. There is also a possibility that cannot be ignored: maybe schoolchildren would feel bored with exercise under school's mandatory health program, and then become less and less interested in health lifestyle. Thus, given these possibilities, school's mandatory health program proves nothing about whether people would choose to buy health-related products.

This memo is problematic in certain other respects as well. Even assuming that people living in Plainsville have great interests in exercise, the memo offers no clear evidence that they have the comparatively same interests in health food and health-related products as well. For that matter, maybe residents in Plainsville hate to lead all the other healthy lifestyles aside from exercising.

Finally, even assuming that this kind of stores would have been profitable previously, no evidence shows that it would be similarly popular in the future. Since people might change their interests and lifestyle at any time, it is entirely possible that healthy lifestyle would not be welcome to residents just after a few days or months. Or perhaps the other stores have already seized this uncommon business chance and put into practise; therefore, this store has lost a significant part of its market. If either of the cases, the vice president's recommendation remains unconvincing.

In sum, the vice president cannot justify this recommendation on the basis of the scant evidence provided in the memo. To strengthen it he or she must prove to us that residents in Plainsville are actually interested in exercising and therefore would buy health food and health-related products in this new store. To better evaluate the memo we would need more information about people's attitudes toward healthy lifestyle and the competitiveness of this new store compared to other same type of stores in the market.

以下是复习备考方案咯~~
2.7—2.9 巩固Argument常见错误，一天背一篇范文，这三天要投入地生猛地去列尽可能多的提纲（Of course,保量不保质的工作俺是不错的~嘿~），一天一篇A，要形成自己的一套专属模板~！

2.10—2.16 按我上传的那套Issue分类，每天两到三类话题展开复习~
顺序：先背一篇该类话题的范文；然后每篇列提纲（高频先自己列，低频过一遍）；一些经典的例子要背过（不是我说什么，背诵绝对是王道~！）
放假期间务必完成第一篇Issue！
这段时间Argument不能放下，每天列几个提纲，就当放松呗，嘿~

注：以上的复习中写作文都是不限时的，翻提纲查字典啥的都不限制~

2.17—2.22 这一个礼拜把I 和A的复习结合起来，也就是每天列提纲，看范文什么的都要做~孙远工具箱，Pooh例子集什么的在太傻和gter上备受推崇的东西（我会全部上传到共享里^_^），多看看，好的就背！善于总结要记住~

2.23—2.28 crazy模考期，每天至少三次模考，自己认真修改，或是找人帮忙修改~（嘿嘿，我可是有牛人好朋友的~）

3.1—3.9 呵呵，准备了这么久终于快到了~在此之前也该准备的差不多了~然后考前呢，每天一次模考就够了，尽量就在考试时间模考，考前一两天视情况而定~最重要的是把以前做的工作全都回顾一遍~写的文章哪，列的提纲哪~总结的东西什么的~高频要常过~熟能生巧哪~笨鸟一定要先飞~

3.10 哈哈~俺上考场啦~~~回来给大家报机经~O(∩_∩)O……

好了，以上差不多就是我的复习计划~看上去确实有点恐怖哪~哈~人生难得几回搏啊~GRE咱就搏它一搏~杀向美利坚咯~~~~（笑~）