[a习作temp] 0910AW 同主题写作第十五期 ARGUMENT173 by iloveusa2009 [复制链接]

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发表于 2009-8-8 16:36:55 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览

ARGUMENT134 - The following was taken from a guide for aspiring writers.

"New writers usually cannot convince large, prestigious publishers that their work is marketable, so they must first publish with smaller, less well-known presses to establish a sales record. But the editors of Mystery Writers Magazine have good news for aspiring writers: the number of mystery novels published in the last two years has grown significantly, and more people read mysteries than any other type of novel. In addition, almost half of the mystery novels published last year were written by first-time novel writers. Since there is apparently an expanding market for mystery novels, all publishers will want to increase the number of mystery novels they publish. Therefore, new writers should write mystery novels to increase their chances for first-time publication with a larger, prestigious company."
WORDS: 341
TIME: 00:30:00
DATE: 2009-8-8 16:01:08

Based on the fact that the number of mystery novels published in the last two years has grown significantly and almost half of the mystery novels published last year were written by first-time novel writers, the author assumes that there is apparently an expanding market for mystery and then suggests that new writers should write mystery novels to increase their chances for first-time publication with a larger, prestigious company. This argument, however, contains several logical flaws which render it unconvincing.

First of all, the increasing of mystery novels published in the last two years and the fact that almost half of the mystery novels published last year were written by first-time novel writers do not indicate that new writers have got a bestseller of their mystery novels. Perhaps the popular mystery novels are just other half of the books which were not written by first-time novel writers. In this case, the new writers are obviously failing to meet the demand of mystery novels reader. That is why new writers usually cannot convince large, prestigious publishers that their work is marketable.

Secondly, even if the new writers succeed in writing mystery novels in the last two years, the author unfairly assumes that the increasing demand of mystery novels will surely continued in the future. Perhaps it is just a fashion of reading mystery novels in the last two years. For this matter, readers will likely to feel boring after the two years' reading and then prefer to read other type of books. Without more information about the market research and forecast of mystery novels, the author cannot convince me that that the mystery novels will also be popular in future.

Thirdly, even if the new writers of mystery novels have got a best-seller of their books and the fashion of reading mystery novels will also continued in the later, the author cannot ensure that all new writers will be successful in writing mystery novels. Common sense tells us that every writer will be good at certain subject matter. It is obvious that not all the new writers are suitable for writing mystery novels. For that matter, some new writers might do a prefect job in writing mystery novels while others can only write out mediocre works. Moreover, whether the large, prestigious publishers would like to publish those mediocre themes to meet the demand of market is also a question. Thus, the author cannot conclude logically that new writers should write mystery novels to increase their chances for first-time publication with a larger, prestigious company.

In sum, the argument is unconvincing as it stands. To strengthen it, the author should provide more evidence that the popular mystery novels in the last two years are just written by new writers. If possible, some investigation involve new writer's background are needed. To better assess the argument, we need also to see some relevant market research and forecast.