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感觉我是不是太过于模式化了??请高手指点啊~
TOPIC: ARGUMENT203 - The following appearedin a newspaper feature story.
"At the small, nonprofit hospital inthe town of Saluda, the average length of a patient's stay is two days; at thelarge, for-profit hospital in the nearby city of Megaville, the average patientstay is six days. Also, the cure rate among patients in the Saluda hospital isabout twice that of the Megaville hospital. The Saluda hospital has moreemployees per patient than the hospital in Megaville, and there are fewcomplaints about service at the local hospital. Such data indicate thattreatment in smaller, nonprofit hospitals is more economical and of betterquality than treatment in larger, for-profit hospitals."
WORDS: 483
TIME: 00:30:00
DATE: 2010/3/7 20:18:30
In the argument, the author concludes thatNon-profit hospitals are more economical and of better quality than treatmentin larger, for-profit hospitals. To support his conclusion, the author citesthat the average length of a patient's stay is much short than that infor-profit hospital in the city of megaville. In addition, the author alsoindicates that there are more employees per patient and fewer complaints aboutthe service. To be honest, the author's argument seems to be logical at thefirst glance. However, careful examination of the evidences provided revealsthat they lend little support to the author's conclusion.
Athreshold problem involves the validity of the statistics provided by theauthor. As we all know, statistics should be sufficiently reliable.Unfortunately, we find little evidences of such procedures of sampling, thusdoubting whether there is sufficiently large size of samples. For example, ifthe author research only 50 patients out of the total population of 1000 inboth of the hospitals, then any evidences obtained from it is untenable.Moreover, other factors are also of great significance. It is highly likelythat patients who went to the for-profit hospital are mostly in severe diseases,so more days of staying in hospital to get further treatment and low cure rateare not that weird. Because the author offers no evidences to rule out suchinterpretations, the statistics obtained could not support the author's conclusion.
Secondly, even assuming that the statistics provided are valid enough,the author unfairly established a causal relationship between the moreemployees per patient along with fewer complaints about services and the betterquality of treatment. However, the author fails to substantiate it. On thecontrary, more quantities of the employees may just reflect their lack ofefficiency and the skills in treatment. Additionally, the complaints aboutservices are in reality not that relevant to the quality in treatment, they arejust subjective feelings and maybe feedbacks are more openly encouraged in thehospital in Mageville. These scenarios, if true, may cast serious doubts on theauthor's conclusion.
Last but not the least, the author's conclusion is based on hastygeneralization. Even if the data the author has indicated are warranted, itdoes not follow that the treatment in smaller, nonprofit hospital is moreeconomical and of better quality. The author ignores other factors that couldinfluence the cost and quality. Such as the competence of the doctors and theprices of the medicine, common sense tells us that they are also importantaspects.
Onall accounts, the argument is unpersuasive as it stands. To bolster it, theauthor should cite more details about the population of the respondents toensure the validity of the statistics. In order to better assess the author’sconclusion, we would need more information of both nonprofit hospital and thefor-profit one to rule out all other possible factors that could influence thecost and quality in treatment of the hospital. |
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