快考了，急求拍！第一篇限时，未完成。ARGUMENT38，哭死了！

xushaonan611051UID: 2389353

请大家帮帮忙啊，只剩10天了，才开始写，真的是想死的心都有了
第一篇限时，可惜没写完，哭！！！！！
题目如下：
38The following memo appeared in the newsletter of the West Meria Public Health Council.

"An innovative treatment has come to our attention that promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools and workplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria, where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twice per year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount of fish can prevent colds. Since colds are the reason most frequently given for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid, a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil, as a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism."
================================================

偶的Argument处女作：
The newsletter recommends that a nutritional supplement calling Ichthaid derived from fish oil is a good way to prevent colds and lower absenteeism. As discussed below, however, the argument suffers from several critical flaws and is therefore mot well reasoned.

First of all, the arguert fails to convince me that colds could be prevented by eating a substantial number of fish, for the reason that there are some other alternative explanations. Perhaps people in East Meria are all fond of sports and do exercise regularly. Or perhaps they seldom go to see the doctor just because of the nice climate, the well-rounded medical treatment system as well as the light pressure from work. Moreover, perhaps another substance is also in high consumption in their daily life and does work. Owing to the various possibilities mentioned above, the conclusion is far from being guaranteed.

In addtion, the author assumes that Ichthaid which is a nutritional supplement derived from fish oil can help prevent colds and lower absenteeism. However, this is not necessarily the case. Even if eating fish can prevent colds, it has not been provided that Ichthaid is the workable element. In other words, maybe another subject can still do the same thing. In addition, even though it is Ichthaid that can prevent colds, it cannot be warranted that it is useful to everybody. Therefore, there is not enough evidence to demonstrate that Ichthaid can help people keep away from colds.

Further more, it cannot be simply assumed that colds are the reason most frequently for absences from school and work. Given that cold is one reason, it is obviously that the argument neglects the other factors which can also result in the absence, such as the bad weather and the disorderly traffic. Besides, they may mainly account for the absence from school and work. Accordingly, the conclusion remains to be dubious.

Last but not least, the arguer does not take into account the inherent differences between the two places. Admitting that colds could be prevented by eating a substantial number of fish, we cannot assume that this same scenario will work in West Meria. There are a couple of variables that can contribute to the case in East Meria, such as the climate, the lifestyle and some other aspects. Therefore, it is unfair to make this conclusion.

In sum, this argument has been weakened by the flaws mentioned above. More evidence should be provided to warrant that Ichthaid can be a way to prevent colds and lower adsenteeism. In order to strengthen the argument, more detailed and scientific studies should be implemented to show that Ichthaid really has a causal link to colds prevention and the reducing of absence from school and work..

xushaonan611051UID: 2389353

:funk:
急死了 来人啊  帮帮偶吧