issue125 by 中原527

中原527UID: 2707367

125. The past is no predictor of the future
I stand on the side of this issue that the past not always predicts the future, even though the sentence-the past is the predictor of the future-is popular in a number of people. Indeed, it can not deny that history is very recurrent and we are attending again a move of the pendulum. When we are looking back to the past
Just as the last sentence says that, I’ve read a news calling that some Republicans, who have been fighting tooth-and-nail to block passage of the health-care bill claim that there were many president such Roosevelt, Clinton and so on failing to put the reform into action in the past. So it is not very effective to American that Obama advances the reform about the health-care. However, they ignored the most crucial problem that the difference of environment between the past and the future. As we know, America has the most high price and the scale of the health-care system in the globe, whereas the approximate percent of those who have no health-care in the whole number of American is sixteen and the
“baby boom” who enter in retirement pay(退休年龄) , both mean that in the future American government receipts can not offer the increasing medical expenses. So we must rely on the constantly changing to adjust our action to predict our future not always insist on the past experience.
There are also many critics saying that the golden rules are still valid especially in the field of science. Of course, we could not negate that the most mathematical formula which are summed up by the mathematician in the history are always true, so that we only use them to predict the goal. For instance, many predictions for the discovery of the new planets are based on the statistics which is collected in the past such as Halley’s comet in astronomy. However, no end for learning, we should need to update our knowledge to meet the challenge of the future. The most obvious example is in the medical science. How to expect the date of childbirth, in the past our Chinese doctors try to diagnosis through looking, listening, questioning and feeling the pulse and then give the accurate date. Nowadays, the new invention of technology about inspection equipment such as B ultrasonic can more exactly observe the bodily events of fetus in mum’s abdomen. The past method can not predict the freak or normal fetus but the new B us can.
In conclusion, when we are looking back to the past , we can see the repeatability of history indeed. Maybe most people usually use the past experience to predict the future for that reason. At the same time, we should not overlook that the environment are changing every minute. And then we should not use the past eyes to look forward to the future.
引用主要资料：comments 1月5日以及12月22日

中原527UID: 2707367

稍作修改——
125. The past is no predictor of the future
I stand on the side of this issue that the past not always predicts the future, even though the sentence-the past is the predictor of the future-is popular in a number of people. Indeed, it can not deny that history is very recurrent and we are attending again a move of the pendulum. When we are looking back to the past
Just as the last sentence says that, I’ve read a news calling that some Republicans, who have been fighting tooth-and-nail to block passage of the health-care bill claim that there were many president such Roosevelt, Clinton and so on failing to put the reform into action in the past. So it is not very effective to American that Obama advances the reform about the health-care. However, they ignored the most crucial problem that the difference of environment between the past and the future. As we know, America has the most high price and the scale of the health-care system in the globe, whereas the approximate percent of those who have no health-care in the whole number of American is sixteen and the
“baby boom” who enter in retirement pay(退休年龄) , both mean that in the future American government receipts can not offer the increasing medical expenses. So we must rely on the constantly changing to adjust our action to predict our future(we must adjust our action to predict our future on the basis of the constantely changing), not always insist on the past experience.
There are also many critics saying that the golden rules are still valid especially in the field of science. Of course, we could not negate that the most mathematical formula which are summed up by the mathematician in the history are always true, so that we only use them to predict the goal. For instance, many predictions for the discovery of the new planets are based on the statistics which is collected in the past such as Halley’s comet in astronomy. However, no end for learning, we should need to update our knowledge to meet the challenge of the future. The most obvious example is in the medical science. How to expect the date of childbirth, in the past our Chinese doctors try to diagnosis through looking, listening, questioning and feeling the pulse and then give the accurate date. Nowadays, the new invention of technology about inspection equipment such as B ultrasonic can more exactly observe the bodily events of fetus in mum’s abdomen. The past method can not predict the freak or normal fetus but the new B us can.
In conclusion, when we are looking back to the past , we can see the repeatability of history indeed. Maybe most people usually use the past experience to predict the future for that reason.(Maybe it is the reason why most people usually use the past experience to predict the future.) At the same time, we should not overlook that the environment are changing every minute, and then we should not use the past eyes to look forward to the future.
引用主要资料：comments 1月5日以及12月22日