Argument15 二战以来第一篇A~呼唤斑斑们哪~

AdelineShenUID: 2630498

TOPIC: ARGUMENT15 - The following appeared in a newsletter offering advice to investors.
"Over 80 percent of the respondents to a recent survey indicated a desire to reduce their intake of foods containing fats and cholesterol, and today low-fat products abound in many food stores. Since many of the food products currently marketed by Old Dairy Industries are high in fat and cholesterol, the company's sales are likely to diminish greatly and their profits will no doubt decrease. We therefore advise Old Dairy stockholders to sell their shares and other investors not to purchase stock in this company."


In this argument the author argues that Old Dairy stockholders should sell their shares and other investors should not purchase stock in this company since the company's sales are likely to diminish greatly. However, this argument suffers from several critical flaws and is therefore unpersuasive at all.

The threshold problem is that the survey which indicated that over 80 percent of the respondents were desire to reduce their intake of foods containing fats and cholesterol does not mean that people will reduce their demand in the food products in Old Dairy. There are some foods which are so important to the health of human beings that even though they contain high fat, people are still love to take them because of their rich nutrition. On the other hand, many people cannot control themselves when they meet delicious food. They might still choose to enjoy the food despite of high fat and cholesterol. It is highly possible that the food in Old Dairy which contains high portion of fat and cholesterol is very delicious and people cannot help buying and eating it. In all likelihood the author cannot conclude that Old Dairy's profits will be diminished because of its products with high fat and cholesterol.

The second problem is that the author rushed into the conclusion that Old Dairy's profits will be diminished according to the statement that low-fat products abound in many food stores while food products in Old Dairy are high in fat and cholesterol. However, the author does not provide any information about the profits of the food stores full of low-fat products. Do they get high profits currently? Are they getting high profits because of their low-fat food products? If not, the conclusion is unwarranted.

Even if the high-fat food products in Old Dairy will truly diminish the profits of the company in this field, the total profits of Old Dairy are not necessarily to be diminished. It is highly possible that the high-fat food products play only a minor role in the market of Old Dairy. There might be other products which sell very well in the company. In this case, the total profits in Old Dairy will still be in a high level and it's better for the stockholders to hold their shares.

All in all, this argument is based on several unwarranted assumptions and is not necessarily to be true. In order to support the argument, the author should provide more information about the profits of the food stores which are full of low-fat food products. The author should also investigate how much does the market of food products with high fat contribute to the total market of Old Diary. Old Dairy stockholders and other investors should think twice before their investment.     


手生好多啊。。。Adeline呼唤亲耐的斑斑们哪~~

AdelineShenUID: 2630498

唔~~自己来顶一下~~可怜巴巴的~~

irvine666UID: 2575525

明天每日一评就选它了
准备迎接满江红吧

irvine666UID: 2575525

PS：我半年多没改A了，就拿它开刀吧