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TOPIC: ARGUMENT7 - The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview newspaper.
"In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved."
计时写的,后来改过。
The arguer reckons that people in Clearview should vote for Ann Green, instead of Frank Braun, because people now are not protecting the environment in Clearview town. For one thing, the air pollution level has doubled. For another, the number of people who got respiratory illness has been increased. The reason he gives seems to be supportive to his statement, but if we think more, we can find something wrong in logic.
The arguer fails to point out the reason why the air pollution level has increased. Since the number of factories in Clearview has doubled, the air pollution will be more severe for sure. So, he should find a relationship between the increasing level of air pollution and the increasing number of the factories during last two years and then he will know whether Frank Braun did a good job. It is possible that even though the number of factories is doubled, but the air pollution levels have not been increased that much than last year. So, the arguer cannot simply conclude that the problem of the air pollution is more sever.
Also, even though people who have respiratory illnesses are more than last year, it may be because the increasing number of the factories and the lasting effect on people respiratory system during the past years. People were living in a bad environment for many years. We don't know what kind of people got respiratory illnesses. They may be new comers, long living residents, babies, or even the older, so we should analyze the number 25 percent deeper and get a conclusion. On the other hand, the reason why people get respiratory illnesses may have alternative explanation. It is may be result from some kind of food, or something else, that makes people get illnesses. So, the arguer should point out the true reason why people became sick to make his opinion sounder.
What's more, the arguer did not prove what the policy will be putted out by Ann Green, so we cannot make sure that he will solve the environmental problems. Even he is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, the arguer did not tell us how Ann Green worked there and what kind of achievement he got, which is the most important thing that make people convinced. So, unless the arguer shows us these things, we cannot elect Ann Green.
To sum up, the arguer fails to give more reasonable explanation why we should elect Ann Green instead, and his reason lacks of more analysis. To make his statement strong, he should investigate the reason why the air pollution levels and the number of sick people have been increased. To strengthen his opinion, he should introduce more about Ann Green and then make people convinced that he will certainly solve the problem of the pollution. |
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