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[主题活动] 【clover】ECO debate by tofee [复制链接]

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发表于 2010-2-6 22:15:53 |显示全部楼层
Mr Greene a journalist based in New York. He is an international correspondent for The Economist, writing daily news and analysis articles for Economist.com as well as contributing to The Economist newspaper. His writing has also appeared in the New York Times, Slate and other publications, and he wrote a biweekly column for the New Republic from 2002-2004. He is a frequent television and radio commentator on international affairs, an analyst for Freedom House, an adjunct assistant professor in the Center for Global Affairs at New York University, and a term member of the Council on Foreign Relations.

It is hard to improve on this statement of Christina Larson, from Foreign Policy, so I won't try: "China is paradoxically home to some of the blackest rivers and greenest ambitions on the planet, but it also has the world’s best and worst record on global warming."

When you hear people in the United States talk about China, you hear two different descriptions of the Middle Kingdom. One is the filthy polluter that will snatch all of America's jobs as soon as America puts a cap (and thereby a price) on carbon. The other is of a country that is adding gigawatts of renewable power, like the recent announcement a huge windfarm in Inner Mongolia, with what looks like admirable determination.

The United States, long a land of paradoxes, can be described the same way. It has given over its claim to the title of world's biggest greenhouse-gas emitter, now China's dubious honour. But it is still the second-biggest emitter, and as a rich country has responsibility for much of the carbon dioxide already in the air. We must remember that it is the total CO2, not the annual emissions, that matter, since carbon dioxide takes hundreds of years to leave the atmosphere. And America has dragged its feet on legislation. The cap-and-trade bill in the Senate may now not see floor debate until spring, three months after what was supposed to be a treaty-writing conference in Copenhagen, which is now expected only to produce a political agreement.

But there are plenty of bright spots in America, too. Emissions peaked in 2005. States and companies are moving where the federal government has not. Many states already have renewable-energy portfolio mandates. Texas recently hit a record high(触到了最高的记录hit
of 25% of its power produced by wind (albeit in the middle of the night). Most important,
可以代替moreover?America remains a technical leader in a way that China is not: if there is a breakout technology, it is still more likely to come from Silicon Valley than Shanghai.

So which country is really doing more to avert climate catastrophe? Of course the question isn't a clear zero-sum, either-or, since some developments will help both—and the rest of the world to boot. But both countries' emissions also contribute to what, remember, is global warming: greenhouse gases do not respect borders. Peggy Liu starts us off by pointing us to many eye-catching numbers relating to China's emissions, and Max Schulz does much the same, but with Chinese coal consumption. Since the debate is about whether China or America is doing more to show global leadership, I hope both participants will put some detail into how they see America's, not just China's, policies.

The proposer's opening remarks
PEGGY LIU

Chairperson of JUCCCE


Peggy Liu is chairperson of JUCCCE (Joint US-China Collaboration on Clean Energy). She was named a 2009 World Economic Forum Young Global Leader, a 2008 Time Magazine Hero of the Environment and a 2008 Clinton Global Initiative adviser on Energy and Climate Change.


Prior to JUCCCE, Ms Liu was a venture capitalist at Mustang, investing in early-stage companies in China. She was the CEO of Channel A, one of the earliest ecommerce companies in Silicon Valley, and the product manager for
NetManage's Internet Chameleon, the first consumer software package to connect Windows users to the internet. Ms Liu helped launch Symantec C++ for Windows and built the OEM channel for the Norton Group. She was a consultant at McKinsey & Co.
我赛,美女原来是阿姨


The House argues that China is "doing more" against climate change than the
United States.
The world is looking to the United States and China to lead the way out of our
climate change conundrum. We are a long way from a sustainable world,【观点】 but
China has climbed farther up the hill than the United States in a few short
years.
After patiently waiting for the United States to take the lead, China is now
rapidly moving forward to show strong domestic leadership in the areas of
energy efficiency and clean energy supply.
Most notably, China's leaders have publicly and uniformly acknowledged the
dangers of climate change and accepted that China has to live up to its
responsibility. Has the United States, like China in its 2007 National Climate
Change Program, pulled the trigger on a national climate change plan? While
the United States appears to be regaining momentum with the new Obama
administration, China has shown committed and sustained climate change
leadership.
In the last several years, China has put in place a series of policies and national
energy savings programmes that have catalysed green action(政策催化行动,恩恩) across the
country. China's 11th Five-year Plan (2006-10) seeks to increase forest
coverage to 20% and reduce energy consumption per unit of GDP by 20%, on
top of already impressive gains over the previous three decades. President Hu
Jintao recently announced plans for China to reduce carbon emissions per unit
of GDP by a "notable margin".
According to the Center for American Progress, "If (China's targets are) fully
realized, it will translate to an annual reduction of over 1bn tons of CO


2
emitted per year, starting in 2010." This is more than three times the total
reduction target for the EU.
A 2008 amendment to the 1997 China's Energy Conservation Law increases
the importance of energy conservation as a national policy by stating, "Energy
Conservation is a basic policy of China. The State implements an energy
strategy of promoting conservation and development concurrently while giving
top priority to conservation." A system of accountability for energy
conservation targets was also added as an explicit part of officials' evaluations.
China's farsighted policies(有远见的政治) have only been in motion for several years. Yet China has already exceeded and revised some of their ambitious targets. China should be given clear credit for making great strides forward in such a compact amount of time.
For example, China is well on its way towards 15% energy mix from renewables by 2020.
Installed wind power capacity at the end of 2008 was 12GW, fourth highest in
the world. This capacity is expected to triple by 2011 to 35GW, and grow
more than tenfold to 150 GW by 2020. This growth will largely come from
seven new wind farms for 120GW of additional capacity, the power equivalent
ofequivalent ofof
240 large coal-power plants.

China is also building a strong transmission grid that will allow for quicker and
more reliable integration of renewable energy, whereas the United States is
struggling withendeavour to do mapping out an efficient plan to add new grid lines among its
highly fragmented network.
China's energy consumption per head is still only 30% that of an average
United States citizen and China has doubled the annual income of over 200m
of its poorest citizens. So yes, China has added an additional 70GW of coal-
fired power plants each year for the past few years. But in the last three years,
China has shut down hundreds of small, inefficient coal plants, totalling 7% of
all China's generation capacity. China with its centralised control is much more
willing to make hard decisions than the United States.
Since 2003, China's coal-plant fleet has actually been more efficient than that
of the United States. The GreenLeapForward blogs that "new plants such as
the 1GW ultrasupercritical coal plant in Yuhuan can generate a kilowatt hour
of electricity with just 283 grams of coal". This is a big improvement over 370
grams in 2005 and 349 grams in 2008, that is, 6% improvement in just five
years.用事实说话,还是事实有说服力啊
FutureGen, the US-based carbon capture sequestration for zero-emission coal
plant, stalled in 2008 and has only recently been revived. China's GreenGen is
already in the construction phase and is set to be fully operational by 2011.
Collaborators include American companies, Peabody Energy and Duke Energy.
Some might argue that the world cannot trust reports of China's progress
against these targets. China recognises that认识到 measurable, reportable and
verifiable actions are important and is making great strides to improve data
collection. But in this debate I would argue that反咬一口 the willingness to set
ambitious goals for the nation—and then quickly progressing forward—is
more important than exact reporting at every point. Given how rapidly China is
changing every day, comparing statistics is like taking a snapshot of a speeding
bullet真是诡辩. At this stage of the climate game, it is more important to ensure that the
trigger has been pulled and that the bullet has been aimed in the right direction.【观点】
For China, it seems that the bullet has been flying in the same direction for
some time now. The energy intensity of China has decreased approximately
65% over the last 30 years. Compare this with the United States, which
decreased by approximately 30% during the same timeframe(时间表).
Though both the United States and China are actively investing in their clean
energy futures, China is doing it on a larger scale.
The United States announced $1 billion in stimulus for clean energy projects
as part of the $787 billion American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of
February 2009.
Since the fourth quarter of 2008, China has allocated $3.37 billion for energy
saving, anti-pollution, ecological and environmental protection projects.
According to the Cleantech Group, China's total investment in new energy is
expected to surpass $440 billion by 2020.
Perhaps more important though is how the two countries differ in investing
their money.
In the United States, under the Recovery Act, the renewable energy awards are
tax credits that attract additional private capital towards projects in the United
States.
In China, money is being invested in a basketful of carefully selected clean
energy experiments. The ones that have been deemed most successful will be
replicated across the country in rapid succession. At last count根据最近的数据, this includes
but is not limited to:AW
40 different eco-cities生态城市
Four different smart grid pilot cities试点城市pilot形容词是实验性的

21 LED street light cities
13 electric vehicle cities
Measuring climate change leadership by amount of action points to China as
the winner in this debate. But China should alsoi做最后陈述的时候的让步】 be given as much credit for what it is not doing. Although admittedly harder to implement in other
countries, China's one-child policy reduces energy demand and is the arguably
the most effective way the country can mitigate climate change. In the 20 years
up to 1999, China's one-child policy is estimated to have reduced population
growth by 300m people—almost the population of the United States—and
CO
by 1.3 billion tons in 2005.

2

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发表于 2010-2-6 22:17:06 |显示全部楼层
China is also bubbling up another cultural revolution, this time one that sends

it back to its roots of reduce and reuse. An NGO activist, Sherri Liao,

successfully pushed the 26/20 policy throughout government buildings (keep

the temperature below 26C in the summer and above 20C in the winter).

Chinese government officials constantly use the refrain, "We must not follow

the West in their consumption patterns!" A leading actress, Li Bingbing, says

she uses her bathtub water to flush her toilet at home. Can we convince people

living in McMansions(引申为富人bourgeoisie) to do the same?

One day last July, distribution of free thin plastic bags in grocery stores—the

sort Americans use every day—were banned across China for environmental

reasons. China Trade News says that China used plastic bags at a rate of 3

billion bags every day, and that this prolific bag use required the consumption

of 5m tons, or 37m barrels, of refined crude oil every year for plastic bags

alone. Overnight, China's citizens changed their behaviour and now use cloth

bags en masse. This simple policy shows how uniquely effective China can be

with a central, united act.

The bottom line for all countries is that climate change is an urgent issue. Our

progress needs to be accelerated through much more effective cross-sector and

international collaboration. Obama's visit to China this month focused on clean

energy and climate change collaboration rather than emissions target setting.

This type of dialogue is much more productive than the Copenhagen

framework, which is a game of tit for tat针尖对麦芒 (you versus me).

As an NGO leader, I am biased towards saying that true leadership from both

the United States and China will come when we are both taking action

domestically as well as reaching out a helping hand to other nations around the

world. In this sense, neither the United States nor China is doing nearly enough

if we are to change our planet's climate trajectory(趋势) in the next ten years. If one

country "loses" the climate battle, we all lose. Here's to hoping both sides soon

win the argument.

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发表于 2010-2-6 23:19:09 |显示全部楼层
The opposition's opening remarks

By the time one finishes reading the declaration at the heart of this debate—"This house believes that China is showing more leadership than America on climate change"—China will have built another 1,000-MW coal plant.

That is an exaggeration, but just hardly. By most accounts China adds one or two massive coal-fired generating plants to its grid each week. It has the most voracious appetite for coal on earth, consuming more than the United States, Japan, and European Union combined. China has increased its coal consumption by 128% since 2000—it accounts for对。。。负有责任,占了), more than 40% of all coal burned on the planet—and is now the world's largest emitter of greenhouse gases. The Energy Information Administration figures that China's coal energy consumption will double again over the next 20 years.

And yet there are some who argue that China provides a model for dealing with climate change that should be instructive(有教育意义的) to us in the United States. This argument studiously avoidsaw&i】故意避开了 the Middle Kingdom's gorging on coal, and points instead to a supposed large-scale investment in developing renewable energy technologies.【这段写的真好】

Curiously, as this typically plays out, it is never suggested that we should actually follow China's lead. Rather, China's shining example of investing in renewable energy should compel the United States to do something that China itself expressly refuses to do, namely, cap carbon.

The impetus for a claim of Chinese leadership on climate change is either to frighten the United States, or make it feel guilty enough, to imposing restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions. And while the goal seems rather clear, the facts upon which it is said to be based are quite a bit murkier.

Peggy Liu, it is heartening to note, represents the Joint US-China Collaboration on Clean Energy. Collaboration and cooperation are wonderful things. But it should be noted that the JUCCCE represents the mainstream American green view on China no more than I do. Most prominent American greens don't talk of cooperation with China, but of competition.

One of the more curious themes to emerge over the past year as proponents of carbon regulation have stated their case has been the notion of a clean energy race between the United States and China. President Obama says we are engaged in a competition to lead the global economy. A venture capitalist, John Doerr, and General Electric CEO, Jeff Immelt, made similar though even more urgent claims in an influential Washington Post op-ed. The Energy Secretary, Steven Chu, lamented in Congressional testimony that the United States has stumbled out of the blocks in this race. Joe Romm of the Center for American Progress has written that passing a cap-and-trade bill is key to winning the so-called clean energy race. Taking it even further, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr, has suggested our clean-energy competition with China is the arms race军备竞赛 of the 21st century.

If we don't catch up and surpass what China is doing, the thinking goes, we are doomed注定失败,注定不好用在I. "China is fast emerging as one of our main rivals in the race to build the technology that can help us achieve energy independence," declared a New York Senator, Charles Schumer, recently. "We should not be giving China a head start in this race at our own country's expense."

Therefore we have to adopt a regime that curbs our greenhouse gas emissions, even though Beijing is defiant about setting its own limits on emissions.

It isn't just the Obamas, Kennedys and Immelts who warn of敬告 China's green efforts outstrippingstrip跑道)
our own. The Chinese do as well, talking up their considerable efforts to combat climate change at the same time as demanding that the United States slash greenhouse gas emissions by 40% over the next decade.

Don't be fooled by China's motives. They have nothing to do with saving the planet but everything to do with establishing a competitive economic advantage over the United States. Carbon regulation in the United States will hike energy costs and drive opportunity and economic growth to low-cost China. That will only increase China's greenhouse gas emissions further.

Don't be fooled by China's "facts", either. Yes, China is investing heavily in green tech, but it is investing in every energy technology as it seeks to fuel给。。添加燃料 continued economic growth. "Wind energy is developing fast, but coal-fired power is developing even faster," conceded the Greenpeace China's climate director to the New York Times. China's renewable energy push(=development ) is minuscule compared to its fossil fuel binge海吃胡喝, and no amount of a mount of一点)green veneer can cover up that coal hard fact真尖锐.

Furthermore, much of China's renewable technology production is designed for export. Just 20 MW out of the 820 MW of solar photovoltaic generators produced in China in 2007 were for the domestic market. The majority was to be sold to customers in the west, where we are taking steps to saddle our economies with the considerably higher costs associated with renewable energy production. Beijing couldn't be more pleased with that arrangement. Until it accepts a cap on its own carbon emissions, its production of wind turbines and solar panels for export is merely the modern fulfilment of Lenin's dictum about the communists selling capitalists the rope with which to hang themselves.

However little the left feels the United States is doing to combat climate change by limiting emissions (and I would agree, though thankfully, that it isn't very much), American efforts still are far more sincere and effective than anything under way in China with one exception: the expansion of nuclear power.

But I am not bothered by China's carbon insincerity, except in so much as it cons the United States into adopting even more stringent climate policies than are already on our books. Instead, we should celebrate China's coal bingeing and the resultant economic growth. Improving the well-being of a billion people in the near term trumps wearing the carbon hair shirt to atone for a climate crisis that, if it does exists, is still a century away.

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发表于 2010-2-12 23:21:20 |显示全部楼层
论坛附件怎么加不进去呢?最大多少??

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