Arguement179 我的第一篇Arguement

DaisyMonroeUID: 2761263

题目：179. The following is a memorandum written by the director of personnel to the president of the Cedar Corporation.
"It would be a mistake to rehire the Good-Taste Company to supply the food in our employee cafeteria next year. It is the second most expensive caterer in the city. In addition, its prices have risen in each of the last three years, and it refuses to provide meals for people on special diets. Just last month three employees complained to me that they no longer eat in the cafeteria because they find the experience 'unbearable.' Our company should instead hire Discount Foods. Discount is a family-owned local company and it offers a varied menu of fish and poultry. I recently tasted a sample lunch at one of the many companies that Discount serves and it was delicious—an indication that hiring Discount will lead to improved employee satisfaction."

正文：
In this argument, the author recommends that their company should choose the food which is supplied by the Discount as the food of their employees’ caferteria. To support this proposal, the author cites a comparison of Good-Taste and Discount indicating that the Good-Taste are far from satisfaction in its expensive price and the lack of special diets. At first glance, this advice might be somehow reasonable, but further consideration reveals that it contains several logical flaws and is therefore unconvincing as it stands.

To begin with, the complaint from the employee opens to doubt. The author's conclusion about the Good-Taste are inferior to the Discount depend on the assumption the complaint are statistically reliable. Yet, the author offers no evidence to substantiate this assumption. Clearly the number of the people who complained is obviously a not sufficiently large sample, it is not representative of all the thought of the employees. Similarly, the author must show more detailed information about the compliant, such as--- whether the people who complained tell the truth. Or the author cannot convince me that the complaint is statistically reliable.

In addition, it was said that the price of the Good-Taste is the second most expensive caterer in the city and the price keeps rising in the past of three years. However the author shows no evidence to prove this claim. It is entirely possible that other caterers' price have risen much more than Good-Taste's in each of the last three years. Even the Good-Taste is really more expensive than others, it is probably because of its good quality and service. Without considering these or that possibility, it is unfairly to conclude that it would be a mistake to rehire the Good-Taste because of its high price.

Furthermore, the author is too hastily to assume that the food supplied by the Discount is delicious merely according to a good sample lunch. Perhaps the company know the author would come to taste the food in advance, they did the sample better than in the normal days. Even I concede that the sample is really well done; however, the sample is also not representative but special. So, it is still not persuasive to conclude the good taste of Discount. Without accounting such possibilities, the author cannot convince me that the food of Discount is better than that of Good-Taste.

Besides, even assuming that the Good-Taste is really unacceptable, it is still unfounded to claim that hiring Discount will lead to improved employee satisfaction. The author ignores a very important fact that there are many other factors can influence the satisfaction. For instance, the Discount might be the most expensive caterer, the food hygiene is terrible and the forth. All of these conditions will definitely not lead to the satisfaction of the employees. Without accounting for these possibilities, it is presumptuous for the author to base his conclusion on this unwarranted report.

To sum up, this argument is not well supported as it stands. To better assess the soundness of this advice it would be helpful to improve the following: to make a comprehensive analysis of the food served by both company; to search for the representativeness of the complaint, leading adequate support to the final proposal.

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