ARGUMENT45 ^ ^

dsndiziUID: 2792853

Merely based on the unsounded assumptions and dubious evidences, the arguer draws a conclusion that it is the glob warming which lead to a decline of deer’s population. Although the conclusion might be convincing and appealing at the first glance, while despite the merits from the argument, there still has some flaws and defects, from my perspective, there are at least three flaws.

First and foremost, the study cited from hunter might be not reliable to claim that the amounts of deer have suffering a decrease. On one hand the arguer fails to inform us how did the surveyed conducted, if those hunters had gone to enough regions and cover a proper certain range of time to calculate the deer’s populations, as the inhibits’ location and
usual time for out all affects the opportunities to meet with hunters. On the other hand, it is also indispensable to be considered whether the deer’s number is really reducing or the hunter can not hunt enough deer. Factors such as these might invariably to influence the reliability and generalization of the investigation.

Secondly, even if the investment turns out to support the forgoing assumptions, while the conclusion remains to be questionable. the arguer fails to correlative to establish a relationship between the fact global-warming with the assumption that the arctic is also suffering a warm weather. the author simply assumes that glob-warming can also make the habitat where deer live the same situations, while it is not actually the case, because there are no credible evidence to support it cited by the author. In this sense, lacking essential evidence to illustrate the living circumstance of deer, the argument could not be true as the premise is just unwarranted.

Finally and perhaps most importantly, the author also fails to rule out alternative explanations. Despite the increase of temperature, there also some factors could have an influence on the population of deer, for example, over-hunting, as the argument has advocated that there are many hunters in deer’s habitat, who might have already killed many deer, it is reasonably to consider that it is the hunters’ over-hunting make deer’s number reduce, actually. Meanwhile it is also probably that the food, which the deer feed on have been diminished. In sum there it is obvious more explanations would also be an impetus to motivate the deer’s population lower.

From the analysis above, the argument, which seems to be logical at first, fails to substantiate enough credible and strong evidence to support the conclusion, in order to make the conclusion more convincing, the argument could be improved by providing more evidence to the correlation that glob-warming make deer’s habitat more warmer, what’s more it can also be improved that take into alternative explanations into account.