2,The following appeared in a letter sent by a committee of homeowners from the Deerhaven Acres to all homeowners in Deerhaven Acres.
"Seven years ago, homeowners in nearby Brookville community adopted a set of restrictions on how the community's yards should be landscaped and what colors the exteriors of homes should be painted. Since then, average property values have tripled in Brookville. In order to raise property values in Deerhaven Acres, we should adopt our own set of restrictions on landscaping and housepainting."
我是刘文奇同学,以下是我的提纲:
论断:Deerhaven Acres地区委员会(committee)的结论下得太草率,并没有为这个结论提供充足的证据。
论点一:委员会假设Brookville community房价增长三倍,是因为那里颁布了应如何布置庭院以及房屋应涂何种颜色的规定(restrictions on how the community's yards should be landscaped and what colors the exteriors of homes should be painted.)。这个假设显然有很多问题。第一,房价的增长很可能是因为当地经济的发展,或者是因为来该地区的投资增加。例子:中国房地产,即使是一块空地,过了七年仍然会涨。第二,房价的增长也可能是因为当地的环境保护措施做得好,附近的基础设施建设已经非常齐全了。第三,也可能是因为当地的房产将周边地区而言,还是比较便宜,周边地区的房地产增长的速度更快。
论点二:即使以上的假设成立,题目中的结论还是不能成立。因为七年前的Brookville community和今天的Deerhaven Acres无法比较。首先,七年是一个很漫长的时间。七年前的思想与七年后的思想大不一样。也许现在人们不再关注房子的外表了。其次,两个地区有没有可比性,委员会在信中没有涉及。如果两地的发展情况和地理位置差距很大,那就没有可比性了。最后,为了是这个结论成立,必须要找到和Deerhaven Acres相似的地区,时间跨度也不能那么大。
总结。
“七年前,在附近的Brookville社区的房主采用了一套关于怎样装饰社区的园子和房子外面的涂上什么颜色的准则。自从那以后,在Brookville,平均房产的价值翻了三翻。为了增加Deerhaven Acres 的房产价值,我们应当采用一套我们自己的关于装饰花园和房子涂油漆的准则。
1)it fails to convince us that the fact that seven years ago,the value of house property in Brookville tripled is resulted from the adopted restriction about landscape and housepainting.解释:其他因素 the estate market,other measures has been taken,like renovation of old houses,new plumb system,parking lots,near a tourist resort or business center.
2)even if it is true that the restriction in Brookville led to the increasing of the value of house property ,no solid evidence has been given to prove that it will receive the same effect by adopting a new restriction about homogenization of landscape and colour of the house.解释: first, In those 7 years ,the taste of customers about houses was ever changing. maybe the style of the same landerscape and the same colour of houses is no longer appealing.and also,the related facilities ,the surrounding environment,and transpotation are also changing. then,no comparison between the two has been made about the location ,and facilities,or other factors that might affect the value of house property.moreover,what about the opinions of the houseowners ?maybe they will move out because of this.