argument158【snikcers小组】提纲作业帖

zhangwanyingUID: 2775533

周日 12月5日
argument 158
TOPIC: ARGUMENT158 - The Trash-Site Safety Council has recently conducted a statewide study of possible harmful effects of garbage sites on the health of people living near the sites. A total of five sites and 300 people were examined. The study revealed, on average, only a small statistical correlation between the proximity of homes to garbage sites and the incidence of unexplained rashes among people living in these homes. Furthermore, although it is true that people living near the largest trash sites had a slightly higher incidence of the rashes, there was otherwise no correlation between the size of the garbage sites and people's health. Therefore, the council is pleased to announce that the current system of garbage sites does not pose a significant health hazard. We see no need to restrict the size of such sites in our state or to place any restrictions on the number of homes built near the sites

zcsdtcUID: 2875047

观点是垃圾处理地点和周围居民的健康无明显的关系，也不需要限制垃圾点的大小和在地点周围居住的人的数量。理由就是一份调查，还有就是虽然在最大的垃圾处理点周围的居民更容易出疹子，但没有明确的关系说明垃圾点的大小和居民健康有关。
反驳：首先，调查指出是有很小的关系的，但具体是多大的关系没有明确，每个人对多和少的理解可能不一样，如果是0.1%可能大家都会认为是很小的，但如果是10%的话，有的人会认为很多，有的人则认为很少，而且是有关系的，这就说明council 不能随便的冒然的下结论说，应该进行深入调查。
其次，大的垃圾点确实比小的对周围居民的健康影响是大的，没有具体明确关系的大小，是不能冒然下结论的。
最后，参与调查的人本身的身体状况怎么样是不知道的，并且周围其他的因素也没有调查清楚，仍然有许多没有明确的问题。这时就下结论还是很早的，调查还不够全面。不限制规模会影响市容。居民是否愿意买垃圾场附近的房子。

zhangwanyingUID: 2775533

TOPIC: ARGUMENT158 - The Trash-Site Safety Council has recently conducted a statewide study of possible harmful effects of garbage sites on the health of people living near the sites. A total of five sites and 300 people were examined. The study revealed, on average, only a small statistical correlation between the proximity of homes to garbage sites and the incidence of unexplained rashes（皮炎） among people living in these homes. Furthermore, although it is true that people living near the largest trash sites had a slightly higher incidence of the rashes, there was otherwise no correlation between the size of the garbage sites and people's health. Therefore, the council is pleased to announce that the current system of garbage sites does not pose a significant health hazard. We see no need to restrict the size of such sites in our state or to place any restrictions on the number of homes built near the sites

（1）For lack of data concerning the total amount of garbage sites and people living near them in the state, the reliability of the study is open to doubt. 并且没有给出任何关于相关性的数据, the ambiguous words "a small statistical correlation between..."are unpersuasive。
（2）仅仅关皮炎的情况远远不能反映附近居民的健康情况，作者没有提到是否进行了其他方面的健康检查。并且作者忽略垃圾对身体可能存在的潜在危害，需要一个长期而全面的调查。所以不能说does not pose a significant health hazard.
（3）作者说no need to restrict the size of such sites in our state or to place any restrictions on the number of homes built near the sites 然而，即使承认垃圾没有造成明显的危害until now，也不能推出限制的无效。The author choose to neglect the possibility that it is only because the restriction that the possible serious health hazard has been already effectively prevented. 如果取消限制，可能会造成严重后果。