argument226【snickers小组】提纲作业帖

zhangwanyingUID: 2775533

周六 12月11日
argument226
Title：ARGUMENT226 - The following appeared as part of a memo from the manager of an automobile manufacturing company.
"Because the demand for our automobiles is expected to increase dramatically, we need to open a new manufacturing plant as soon as possible in order to continue to thrive. Our marketing projections indicate that 80 million people will want to buy our automobiles, yet our existing plant can only produce 40 million automobiles. The new plant can be opened on a part-time basis, with workers from our existing site rotating responsibilities, until an operational staff can be trained. A major airplane manufacturer was extremely successful using this part-time rotating strategy when it opened its new plant five years ago."

zhangwanyingUID: 2775533

Title：ARGUMENT226 - The following appeared as part of a memo from the manager of an automobile manufacturing company.
"Because the demand for our automobiles is expected to increase dramatically, we need to open a new manufacturing plant as soon as possible in order to continue to thrive. Our marketing projections indicate that 80 million people will want to buy our automobiles, yet our existing plant can only produce 40 million automobiles. The new plant can be opened on a part-time basis, with workers from our existing site rotating responsibilities, until an operational staff can be trained. A major airplane manufacturer was extremely successful using this part-time rotating strategy when it opened its new plant five years ago."

（1）没有充分的证据来支持这个市场计划中有关“8000万人”将要买我们车的论断，在汽车工业领域里，需求比供应超出4000万事令人难以置信的，所以做一必须拿出令人信服的证据。而且，marketing projections只是说“want to buy”, 没有说一定会购买。汽车销售量受经济环境的影响很大market changes, material and labor costs, national or international economic circle, 很难保证实际的需求量。
（2）让原有的员工轮流加班培养新的员工可能会造成他们更大的工作压力，很难协调。
（3）飞机制造和汽车制造有很大的不同，并且作者没有提到那个飞机制造厂的规模，技工数量等重要信息。所以不能盲目地参考这个经验。

daniexiaUID: 2403405

6. It is not sufficient to claim that opening a new manufacturing plant will help the automobile company to continue to thrive.
7. Though the airplaine manufacturer successfully use this part-time rotating strategy after its new plant opened five years ago, it might not be the case that the auto company will benefit from it too. (F.A)
8. The author fails to give supporting evidence that it was the part-time rotating strategy that actually contributed to the success in the airplain manufacturer five years ago. Morever, what is success by definition?