Issue125 过去与未来, 偶的最后一篇

crusadeUID: 149710

125"The past is no predictor of the future." 125． 过去并不是预示着将来
论点:过去是可以预测未来的,但我们也不能拘泥于过去.
1. 从过去可以推出适用于过去与未来的一般规律,从而预测未来.
2. 过去的经验是我们在未来路上的向导.
3. 相信过去不意味是宿命论.

这是偶的最后一篇, 特意挑了这个题目,虽然我写的是反对, 但我希望我"过去"造就的糟糕写作水平不要预言我未来的考试失利. :D

The past, a dazzling world established by our previous generations, was full of spectacular epics and trivial events; the future, an unknown world to be constructed by our descendants, will be filled with mystery and expectation. Could the past predict the future? In my viewpoint, I disagree with the statement above. The past experience can be predictor of the future in some cases, yet we should still strive for getting rid of the past shackles to achieve an ideal future.

To begin with, it is likely that we can deduce the general principles that could be conformal to both the past and the future.  The past history was based on the human race, meanwhile, acted as a stepping stone to the future. It is undoubtedly that there are eternal principles existing in the proceeding of the history. For example, to conquer the world is the inevitable nature of human beings, and some outstanding people, such as Alexander the Great, Julius Caesar even Adolf Hitler, appeared unceasingly in history to realize the nature of human race. Nevertheless, the whole world belongs to the whole humans, anyone who focuses on the interests of governors would be upset by the mass of people no matter how powerful he/she is. Whether the brilliant Roman Empire in the west or the prodigious Qin Dynasty in east, the autocrats cannot avoid the outcome of collapse. Only the democratic nations that serve for the interests of the majority of people are able to keep their bloom till now. I believe one of the principles concluded from the above example is that any regime has the most significant responsibility for protecting the interests of the mass of people. The principle generated from the past and testified by the past will also be effective in the future.  Could we still remain to say that the past cannot predict the future?         

In addition, the experience and lessons of the past is like the cynosure that leads us to a bright future. The past is an impartial teacher who could teach us truths and fallacies. A case in point is the environmental pollution. The pollution seeds cultivated by our ancestors have flourished in contemporary world. Our grandfathers and we had experienced the tragedy such as disafforestation, which teaches us and our offspring not to make the same mistakes. As Lenin once said (and I paraphrase) : " to forget the past means the rebellion."  Unarguably, the past is not only a predictor but also a guide of the future.   

However, the viewpoint that the past is the predictor of the future is not equal to fatalism, we should not be destined to the historic circle but judge the past history objectively.  The past experience is valuable but not universal. The conditions, such as production, beliefs and culture have changed much from the past to now. Similarly, we cannot foresee the images of the future. It is unwise to judge the trend of the future merely according to the past.  The past does not reflect the destiny of human beings in the future but predict the prospect that we should strive for.  

To sum, the past is bound to be mirror images of the future, we should audaciously step onto the road to future on basis of the past; the past should not be the handcuffs of the future, our descendants and we can exhibit our brilliance at the stage of the future to most extent with the aid of the past experience..

猫咪meUID: 155478

先祝你考试顺利！

猫咪meUID: 155478

先祝你考试顺利！

DriverEntryUID: 143979

125"The past is no predictor of the future." 125． 过去并不是预示着将来
论点:过去是可以预测未来的,但我们也不能拘泥于过去.
1. 从过去可以推出适用于过去与未来的一般规律,从而预测未来.
2. 过去的经验是我们在未来路上的向导.
3. 相信过去不意味是宿命论.

这是偶的最后一篇, 特意挑了这个题目,虽然我写的是反对, 但我希望我"过去"造就的糟糕写作水平不要预言我未来的考试失利.  

The past, a dazzling world established by our previous generations（可以用progenitor，forerunner等）, was full of spectacular epics and trivial events; the future, an unknown world to be constructed by our descendants, will be filled with mystery and expectation. Could the past predict the future? In my viewpoint, I disagree with the statement above. The past experience can be predictor of the future in some cases, yet we should still strive for getting (为什么不用 strive to get?) rid of the past shackles to achieve an ideal future.

To begin with, it is likely that we can deduce the general principles that could be conformal 形状完全相似？to both the past and the future. The past history was based on the human race, meanwhile, acted as a stepping stone to the future. It is undoubtedly that there are eternal principles existing in the proceeding of the history. For example, to conquer the world is the inevitable nature of human beings, and some outstanding people, such as Alexander the Great, Julius Caesar even Adolf Hitler, appeared unceasingly in history to realize the nature实现人类的本性？ of human race. Nevertheless, the whole world belongs to the whole humans, anyone any governor who focuses on the interests of governors him/herself would be upset by the mass of people no matter how powerful he/she is. Whether the brilliant Roman Empire in the west or the prodigious Qin Dynasty in eastwhether or好象要连句子吧。, the autocrats cannot avoid the outcome of collapse. Only the democratic nations that serve for the interests of the majority of people are able to keep their bloom till now这个地方不是很对，在古代生产力不发达的情况下，只有中央集权的统治方式才最合适，那时的皇帝都可以叫autocrats,但是也能推动社会发展啊，比如贞观之治 . I believe one of the principles concluded from the above example is that any regime has the most significant responsibility for protecting the interests of the mass of people. The principle generated from the past and testified by the past will also be effective in the future. Could we still remain to say that the past cannot predict the future?
过去发现的规律会一直存在，这就叫预测未来吗？我觉得这只是给预测未来提供一个依据而已。

In addition, the experience and lessons of the past is like the cynosure that leads us to a bright future. The past is an impartial teacher who could teach us truths and fallacies. A case in point is the environmental pollution. The pollution seeds cultivated by our ancestors have flourished in contemporary world. Our grandfathers and we had experienced the tragedy such as disafforestation, which teaches us and our offspring not to make the same mistakes. As Lenin once said (and I paraphrase) : " to forget the past means the rebellion." Unarguably, the past is not only a predictor but also a guide of the future.
过去教会我们一些东西，这就叫预测未来吗？这只是告诉我们哪些事情能做，那些不能做而已。而我们以后会碰到很多新问题，也许靠过去的经验是无法解决的。

However, the viewpoint that the past is the predictor of the future is not equal to fatalism, we should not be destined to the historic circle but judge the past history objectively. The past experience is valuable but not universal. The conditions, such as production, beliefs and culture have changed much from the past to now. Similarly, we cannot foresee the images of the future. It is unwise to judge the trend of the future merely according to the past. The past does not reflect the destiny of human beings in the future but predict the prospect that we should strive for.
这段好象有点自相矛盾啊。你说过去不能预测未来，然后又说过去预测了未来的某些方面？这个该则怎么理解呢？

To sum, the past is bound to be mirror images of the future, we should audaciously step onto the road to future on basis of the past; the past should not be the handcuffs of the future, our descendants and we can exhibit our brilliance at the stage of the future to most extent with the aid of the past experience..

总的来说写的还可以，如果限时的话写成这样也不错了。不过我的观点和你基本上对立，所以看起来总觉得不对。呵呵。另外我感觉在你论证 the past is the teacher of the future 大于 past the is the predictor of the future

如果我写的话会这样写：
POS：过去不能预测未来，“现在”可以预测未来。
SYLLABUS：
1、从个人的过去看不到他的未来，只有他现在的努力决定着他饿未来
2、从一个社会的过去也看不到他的未来，只有这个社会现在的趋势可以预测该社会的未来。

以上只是个人意见，不对的地方多指教。
对了，你什么时候考试啊？先祝你考试顺利！：）

crusadeUID: 149710

首先谢谢DriverEntry :p
有些地方用词的确不当, 那个whether or改成from to更好些
有些想法想和你探讨一下:
我本人一直持过去可以预测未来的观点, 因此写作文也就这样写了
这道题我是当作single题来处理的, 因此用的逻辑模版也很大众化
1. 我反对的原因
2. 找我观点做的好处
3. 让步或补充( 那个however是不是改成admittedly 更好些?)
第一段讲原因, 如果你觉得我这样写不够说服力, 我实在想不出怎么写才可以论证这个论点, 请赐教. 因为我想说的是一般规律, 所以英明的帝王只能辉煌一时不能辉煌永世啊, 这正是这个规律的体现么( 是不是还要加点料?)
第二段我想说作用, 过去是向导和老师, 不知这样写算不算跑题.
第三段想起一个让步.The past does not reflect the destiny of human beings in the future but predict the prospect that we should strive for. 过去没有折射出人们在未来的命运,只是预言了我们为之奋斗的前景.不知道英文句子有没有说出我的汉语意思.
谢谢了.
我3.25考试.

DriverEntryUID: 143979

3。25号才考，为啥说是最后一篇？
我觉得要从对题目的理解讨论起， 题目是“过去不是未来的预报者”。你的观点是过去有时可以预测未来？那么什么叫“预测”呢？我觉得在这个词上可以大做文章。象你提到的论点更象是“指导”更不是“预测”。
举例来说：狭义的“预测”就是今天知道明天的事情，比如天气预报：我们根据现在的情况可以知道明天是否下雨？气温多少？这叫预测。
而“指导”就是说，我知道以后肯定会有时刮风，有时下雨的。但具体是哪天也讲不清楚。

也许你在开头把你对“预测”这个含义的理解再解释的更具体会好些。