14年秋季提纲互改小组-134（57/74/133）

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134 Claim: Knowing about the past cannot help people to make important decisions today.
Reason: We are not able to make connections between current events and past events until we have some distance from both.
Write a response in which you discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the claim and the reason on which that claim is based.
关联题目:57、74、133
请回帖时按照这里的指引列出英语提纲并用汉语解释并根据指引点评楼上的提纲。 第一个回帖的同学不必点评。
指引：https://bbs.gter.net/thread-1777364-1-1.html

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In my opinion, whether the claim is true or not depends on specific situations. Knowing about the past can help people to make important decisions today in politics and economics, but it does not work in science and technology situations. I disagree with the reason because the connection between today’s events and past events are easy to be made as long as there are some similar characteristics between them.
In politics, knowing about the past helps leaders to make decisions because the history can help people learn experience in the past events.政治上的情形往往在历史上或者其他国家有相似情况，可以借鉴历史经验或者其他国家的经验。举例：美国罗斯福新政为后面美国总统缓解经济危机提供经验借鉴。
In economics, knowing about the past helps people to make decisions because economists can discover some laws of economic development according to the past economic events.经济周期往往较长，只有观察过去的经济情况，才能发现经济发展规律。经济发展规律让人们知晓每个决策可能带来的影响，从而帮助人们做出决策。举例：计量经济学中GARCH模型帮助经济学家借助过去的数据预测未来的发展趋势。
In science and technology situations, the claim does not hold true because science and technology is developing rapidly and most problems never happened in the past.科技发展迅速，过去没有出现过类似问题，难以从过去的事件中借鉴经验。举例：环境问题，转基因问题
I disagree with the reason because the connection between today’s events and past events are easy to be made as long as there are some similar characteristics between them.　两个事件的联系可以从事件发生的背景、环境、发展过程、问题严重程度等方面的共同点建立，不需要在有较大时间间隔之后才能建立联系。举例：经济危机的发生。

问题：Write a response in which you discuss the extent to which you agree or disagree with the claim and the reason on which that claim is based.这种题型，在讨论reason时除了讨论reason这个观点是否成立之外，需要讨论reason能否论证claim吗？
如果需要，那么用讨论claim，讨论reason本身，讨论reason能否论证claim这三段展开可以吗？

tesolchinaUID: 2191404

汗 issue 74已经发过了
要不你去那个帖子吧
https://bbs.gter.net/thread-1777232-1-1.html 沙发楼

ClaretZUID: 3567572

tesolchina 发表于 2014-10-27 09:38
汗 issue 74已经发过了
要不你去那个帖子吧
https://bbs.gter.net/thread-1777232-1-1.html 沙发楼

我错了，，，忘了看超级入口，，，现在可以删掉这个帖子吗？