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发表于 2005-7-14 08:34:38
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Argument50:
From a draft textbook manuscript submitted to a publisher.
'As Earth was being formed out of the collision of space rocks, the heat from those collisions and from the increasing gravitational energy of the planet made the entire planet molten, even the surface. Any water present would have evaporated and gone off into space. As the planet approached its current size, however, its gravitation became strong enough to hold gases and water vapor around it as an atmosphere. Because comets are largely ice made up of frozen water and gases, a comet striking Earth then would have vaporized. The resulting water vapor would have been retained in the atmosphere, eventually falling as rain on the cooled and solidified surface of Earth. Therefore, the water in Earth's oceans must have originated from comets.'
Article:
Basically, the author of this manuscript draws his conclusion on the following hypotheses: Earth must have been stricken before by comets which contained the amount of water as much as that in today's earthly oceans; Earth could retain the water of striking comets in the atmosphere and on the surface; Comet is the only possible source of water supply in the history of Earth. Although he made very specific explanation and analysis for it, either his conclusion or the whole reasoning process to reach it still seems unacceptable to me.
Firstly, is it a certain thing that Earth has ever been stricken by comets? The collision of comets and planets does not happen every day, the odds of which is actually very low, especially considering that Earth is a relatively small planet among its brothers and sisters. It's well known that in the late 1990's a comet knocked into Jupiter, the biggest planet among all the ones in the Solar System, which was the only comet-planet collision incidence observed in the human history. Comparing our Earth with tremendous Jupiter, it's like an ant versus a buffalo. Thinking about that: it took thousand of years for a comet to hit a buffalo, then how long do you expect it to eventually hit a tiny teeny little ant? Even assuming that some comets did happen to strike Earth for a very bad luck, as we all know that a comet is even much smaller than Earth, how many incoming comets it would have taken to get zillions of gallons of water to fill all the oceans? We don't know, and the writer didn't give the data either. Although it's almost impossible to count every comet impact in the history of Earth, at least the odds of this kind of incidence could help us estimate and evaluate the arguer's point.
Secondly, even assuming that comet was a family friend of Earth who often dropped by(O my God! Leave us Alone!), the writer still fails to convince us that the water in the striking comets did go into the atmosphere and surface of Earth. The effect of comet-Earth impact then was unknown. Was the heat created by the collision high enough to melt the comet? Is there any chance that those comets penetrated the Earth surface, got buried deep underneath the ground and never entered the ocean system? The latter possibility is available, since even the writer himself/herself admitted that the surface of earth of those times might be "cooled". Besides I can't help noticing that the writer used two "would have"s in his statement about the water generation of comet impacts, revealing his own lack of evidences and confidence to prove such theories.
Finally, we have no reason to rule out other possibilities of the water existence on Earth. Common sense tells us that chemical reactions could generate water. The two elements forming water is hydrogen and oxygen, which are both among the most popular elements in the universe and, of course, our planet. Considering the very unstable and vastly changing condition on Earth, this kind of chemical reactions were pretty likely to happen. In the argument above the author also admits that there was water on those space rocks colliding to form Earth. Then where did those water come from? Comet again? Come on! He's just a shy occasional visitor emerging once a couple of centuries, not a crazy water balloon flying everywhere. If it's not the comets that brought water to all those space rocks, whatever the real reason is, it's definitely against the author's opinion in this case.
To sum up, the longer the history is, the more uncertainty it may present. There were thousands of ways to produce water other than the comet's contribution in the billions of years' Earth history. Until all of those ways have been proved impossible, and serious scientific investigations have been made to prove the author's assumption about the hitting effect and hitting frequency of comets on Earth, I'm afraid that the publisher would keep returning back this draft of textbook.
[ Last edited by staralways on 2005-7-14 at 10:51 ] |
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