argument20 有没有人写Argument 20啊?

husterUID: 2110691

RT
希望大家可以提出一些意见
:lolThe following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
“The population of Balmer Island increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by each of the island’s six moped and bicycle rental companies from 50 per day to 30 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council is sure to attain the 50 percent reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year in the neighboring island of Torseau, when Torseau’s town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals.”

In this argument, the arguer concludes that to reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by each of the island’s six moped and bicycle rental companies from 50 per day to 30 per day during the summer season when the population of the island increases to 100,000. To support the conclusion the arguer points out that by enforcing similar limits on moped rentals as limiting the number of rentals, the neighboring island of Torseau attained the 50 percent reduction in moped accidents last year. A careful examination of this argument would reveal how groundless the conclusion is.

First of all, there is no evidence to prove the point that more population of a city means more accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians. Thus, it may not be sufficient to adopt the limits on moped rentals.

Secondly, it is not fair to put all the responsibility of traffic accidents on the mopeds and pedestrians that are rented. Admittedly, the possibility that the mopeds involved in the accidents come from the rental company exists; however, we can not say that all the traffic accidents are caused by them. As a result, before drawing the conclusion, a survey based on the facts is quite necessary. If it were not the case, the hasty adoption of the limits may lead to the dissatisfaction of the rental company, and meanwhile results in more troubles. What’s more, given that the rental mopeds do cause most of the accidents, it is still problematic whether limiting the number of the mopeds rented by the islands’ moped and rental companies makes sense. It may be the case that the average number of the mopeds and bicycles rented by each company is no more that 30, thus the limits are useless.  

Finally, the argument is based on a false analogy. Granted that it is useful to limit the number of the mopeds and pedestrians rented by the rental companies, we cannot simply assume that the limits will work well in Balmer Island as it did in the island of Torseau. More factors should be added into the consideration of the proper methods of accidents reduction such as the skill of the persons who ride the mopeds and so on.

As it stands, the argument is not well reasoned. To make it logically acceptable, the arguer would have to provide evidence to support that the real reason of accidents is caused by the rented mopeds and bicycles. Additionally, the effectiveness of the limits in the Balmer Island needs to be proved.

[ 本帖最后由 yogurt4 于 2006-2-10 14:17 编辑 ]

husterUID: 2110691

被无视了，嘻嘻