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TOPIC: ARGUMENT2 - The following appeared in a letter sent by a committee of homeowners from the Deerhaven Acres to all homeowners in Deerhaven Acres.
"Seven years ago, homeowners in nearby Brookville community adopted a set of restrictions on how the community's yards should be landscaped and what colors the exteriors of homes should be painted. Since then, average property values have tripled in Brookville. In order to raise property values in Deerhaven Acres, we should adopt our own set of restrictions on landscaping and housepainting."
提纲:
1 错误类比,两地未必可比
2 实施规定与地产升值没有因果联系,地产升值有可能是其它原因导致的
3. 以过去证据推断现在或将来
In this letter, the committee of Deerhaven Acres homeowners recommends that in order to enhance property values all homeowners should adopt their own set of restrictions on landscaping and house-painting. To support the recommendation, the arguer points out that the average property values in nearby Brookville community have risen in that homeowners there adopted the similar actions seven years ago. A careful examination of this argument would reveal how groundless the conclusion is.
In the first place, the argument is based on a false analogy. Although there is only a short distance between the Deer Acres and Brookville community, without showing all the conditions of these two areas are essentially the same, no evidences are provided that they are indeed comparable. In fact, it is probably that many fundamental differences between them, such as the tastes and interests of residents in these two areas being largely unlikely, perhaps the levels of consumption cannot being unequal, and as we all know, different levels of income mean different things to be looked .All above prove that the situations in two areas are not similar enough to justify the analogical deduction. Therefore, there is no guarantee that the restrictions will work well in Deerhaven Acres.
In the second place, the arguer fails to establish the causal relationship between the fact that the average property value is increased and the fact that Brookville homeowners implemented restrictions. In other words, the arguer does not take into account other factors which may cause the increase of the average property values in Broolville. For instance the economy in Brookville likely has experienced an unprecedented development and prosperity, therefore people there can afford to pursuit more and more expensive property. Moreover, it is also possible that Brookville officials have devoted a great deal of effort on promoting the transportation, developing the surrounding conditions, and improving the facilities of the communities. All above are the alternative reason which contribute to the raise of property values.
Finally, even if the restriction of landscaping and painting could serve to the raise of property value during the last seven years, it might not the case in the future. In such a long time, many conditions such as evaluate standard for property values may have changed. It is possible that people in the past think a lot of the exterior of the house in community but now pay more attention to the function of the houses. If so, people would like to invest in houses with furniture rather than its appearance. Thereby, the restriction of landscaping in Deerhaven might not result in the raise of property values as it done in Brookville.
In summary, the conclusion lacks credibility because the evidence cited in the analysis does not lend strong support to what the arguer maintains. To strengthen the argument, the arguer would have to provide more evidence that Brookville and Deerhaven Acres are similar in every aspect. To better evaluate the argument, we would need more information about the relationship between the restrictions and the increasing prosperity values.
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