Argument 87(飞跃小组） syjoli 第二次作业 拍吧

syjoliUID: 2296328

87.The following appeared in a memo to managers of Christine's, a chain of
craft stores.

"Several major newspapers have recently run articles noting an increased
interest in pottery. The number of potters in this country has risen by
eighteen percent in the past five years, and pottery is particularly
gaining popularity on college campuses. In order to take advantage of
these trends, Christine's should immediately begin carrying a larger
volume of pottery supplies. Since several of our stores have recently
experienced a decrease in sales of painting supplies, all store managers
should reallocate shelf space from the painting area for the display of
pottery. Stores should display posters showing pottery that is designed to
appeal to college-age individuals. These actions will undoubtedly increase
our profits dramatically."

一些大报最近刊登文章指出对于陶器兴趣的增长。过去五年中全国陶工的数量增加了18％，并且陶器在大学校园得到了特殊的青睐。为利用这一潮流，Christine's应该马上开始提供大量陶器。由于我们的若干商店最近绘画的销量下降，所有的店主都应该重新安排货架空间，把绘画的货架用于展示陶器。商店应该张贴能够吸引在校年龄人群的陶器的招贴画。这些举措无疑将会显著增加我们的盈利。


字数：490时间：1小时03分

In this argument,the arguer recommend that painting stores should display posters showing pottery to appeal to college students will increase our profits.Due to some stores have resently experienced a decrease in sales of painting supplies.To justify this recommendation,the author shows the fact that the number of potters in this country has risen by eighteen percent in the last five years,Meanwhile,pottery is particularly gaining popularity on college campus,Thus,the arguer assert that it's great interest in pottery market.However,the argument suffers from critical fallacies.

First of all,the arguer cites the fact that the number of potters has risen for comapare to the last five years,Therefore,the interests of pottery will rapidly gaining accord to the number of posters.Perhaps,the students just are interested in pottery,Owing to lack of money to pay for the expensive potterys so that have to give up to buy them finally.Therefore,The author could not justifiablely rely on the more fact that the number of potters in this chountry has risen by 18 percent to support that claim that interests of pottery also acheive a great improvment as well.

In the second place,the aruger neglect some possibilities that boost improvment of interests of potterys.the arguer indicate that pottery is particularly obtaining popularity on college campuses is the reason for increasing interests in pottery.But it is not the necessairly that this is the case,Perhaps,the pottery company save cost for making potter materials than several previous years,or perhaps,they explore other fields to further develop large market for appealing to confidencs from customers not only are limited in campuses,also including the people who from outside college.Moreover,perhaps,the pottery company enlarge the whole sizes and enhance productivity of efficience Hence,the popularityof college students is just parts of customers for consuming all the potterys.

In the third factor,the author commits a false fallacy.Tdhe arguer points out that pottery attain popularity on college campuses available means if painting stores display posters showing about pottery also appeal to college-age individuals.It is unfairly to conclude based on pottery's popularity in college campuses will bolster painting stores in terms of pottery for absorbing college individuals.Maybe,students just emphasis on pottery rather than posters showing pottery,or perhaps pottery cans provide collection coins for college students,Maybe,it's depends on their pragmitical values not attractve abstract imagine merely.

Finally,it was only carried out in pottery ,but the arguer applies its result to painting stores' market while does not show us whether selling painting with posters showing pottery is effective way follow the pottery had done.it's unwarranted assumption,because there is not evidence that students will really like the pottery painting posters,So it's unpersuasive as it it mentioned above.

In sum up,the argument is unconving as it stands,  To strength the argument ,the arguer must state more convicing evidence that will actually increase interests of painting as result of appealing to college-age individuals through posters showing pottery. To better evaluate the argument we need more information about the cost of the painting compare to its expected benefits.