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TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
WORDS: 512 TIME: 上午 12:30:00 DATE: 2007-8-6
In the argument above , the arguer claims that patients should take antibiotics in their treatment when get diagnosed with muscle strain . however , close scrutiny reveal that the facts listed in the argument could lend little support to the conclusion.
First of all ,the arguer claims that doctors' hypothesis has been proved by study , but this claims suffers from several fallacies .
the arguer cites the facts that patients in the first group recuperation time was 40% quicker that typically expected ,and patients in second group average recuperation time was not reduce .however ,the arguer fails to explain how long a time is typically expected as long as how long a time is "average recuperation time" ,it is entirely possible that "typically expected" time is not amount to "recuperation time" which means we could not know which group of people recover quicker . in short , to rule out this possibility , the arguer has to provide a shared standard of recuperation time rather than a vague conception.
even in the comparison , two group of patients all share a common time standard ,the arguer still unfairly contribute antibiotics as the reason for quicker recuperation time in first group . as we know from the facts , doctor who be responsible for the first group is a one who specializes in sports medicine ,while the other doctor is just a general physician , so it is entirely possible that doctor Dr .Newland could be more experienced in dealing with sport injuries ,like muscle injuries .and he could usually more appropriate means to guild patients ,like a notion of diet ,sleep ,and so on . if this is the case , than disparity of doctors could contribute to the difference of recuperation time rather then antibiotics . moreover , even the doctors are equal experienced in dealing with muscle injuries ,we could note that in the second group ,patients have eaten sugar pills ,although this material is widely used in compared experiments ,however , the arguer has to provide more evidence to point out sugar will have nothing to do with muscle injuries .in short ,the possibilities that either doctor's experiences and sugar will affect the study result would be make out to make the conclusion persuasive.
the arguer asserts that this study could prove a hypothesis that secondary infections play a important role in healing delay . however , in the study the arguer cited , no proof could indicate that these patients are suffering a secondary infections. it is highly possible that antibiotics just play its role in the first infection curing . if so ,this study could not lend support to this hypothesis .
Secondly, even the study could bolster the hypothesis , in the final recommendation ,it is unfair that the arguer recommends all the patients with muscle strain should take antibiotics .obviously ,the arguer amounts muscle injuries to muscle strain .common sense tells us .lots of factor could contribute to muscle strain ,like cold ,lack of Calcium ,and so on
,imagine that if a patients suffers a muscle strain because of cold ,then take antibiotics as a part of their treatment will make no sense in pain removing and recuperation time reducing.
In conclusion ,only the arguer could provide more evidence to prove the only factor contribute to difference of recuperation time is antibiotics and rule out other possibilities which could be explainable to muscle pain .then the recommendation of arguer could stay persuasive.
空下来的部分就是我没有写完的部分,30分钟内果然只写道了512 这似乎是极限了,可是我发现非常详细的来写的话,这个时间是根本不够的,我现在想,是不是所有的ARGU应该是抓住最重要的几点,每个批驳点举一到二个反例就是比较适当的? 当然 我在写这篇的时候,开头找错了一些问题,也耽误了不少时间 囧 可是 难保考试的时候不会犯错误啊 ............你们怎么看 ARGU的写作这个问题? |
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