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The conclusion that Old Dairy stockholder should sell their shares and other investor should not purchase stocks in this company seems undoubted at the first glance .The latest survey indicates since most respondents are prone to low-fat products but not high-fat ones, the company whose products are high in fat and cholesterol will face the financial crisis .However, several fallacy and obscure factors , which may lead to a premature notion , has been ignored before coming to the conclusion.
First of all, the survey fails to show me the real desire of most consumers , or predict the consumers’ further behavior .The respondents present their own thought ,but the rest ones, who have not answer the survey yet ,may not make the same choice .If the number of these data is more than of respondents , it is probability that the sales are not likely to diminish. In addition, the component of the respondents is unable to see from the survey. In this case, I hardy see their habit in diet , their age ,even their gender. In one word, data, as the element, is comprehensive or not determine the correction of the conclusion.
Secondly, the argument hastily comes to the conclusion that the company’s sales are likely to diminish. Albeit low-fat products abound in many food stores, there is no evidence shown that the low-fat food must gain a better result in the market 这句怪怪的 .Considering the different price and taste ,the consumer may prefer the high-fat products to the low-fat ones.
Finally, even assuming so many consumers prefer purchasing low –fat products .The argument is flawed in the result that the profit will no doubt decrease .The progress, which make the low-fat food may not only damage the taste but also increase the cost .On the other hand, with the low price and well-location ,the profit of OD still can be more than any of other company.
In conclusion, the argument fails to consider several crucial points in the survey .Under the circumstance, the conclusion has to be suspected. After all, a great deal of complicated factors lead to a simple (result). If we are masked by the superficiality, we will fall in the pitfall unconsciously.
逻辑清楚,文章也很连贯,挺好的 |
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