ARGUMENT209【Aero小组】第15次作业 by bigyan

bigyanUID: 2382427

In this recommendation, the human resource manager comes to the conclusion that the president of starligth jewelry should take the place of existing president pat due to the siginifcant decrement in profit. To support this point, the author cites that under the leadership of rosa, the profit of the company has increase dramatically over the past several years. However, the recommendation relies on a couple of specious assumptions, which render unconvincing as it stands.
First and foremost, the fact that the profits of the toy company decrease lends no strong support to the conclusion that she should be asked for resignation. Common sense and experience tells me that though she should take responsibility for the undesirable decrement, no one can assurance that after her leave, the profits of the company might go up apparently. It is entirely possible that after her correct strategy, there might be some thing wrong with the production that carries the shortage of supplement. In addition, it is also entirely possible that the decrement is the result of last president’ hasty order .To the contrary, the company should take a comparatively long term to test her ability .Given that those possible scenarios, the recommendation is open to dubitable.
Turning next to the comparison with the presidents of a jewelry store, the author conclude that the president seems more suitable for the place. But it is not the case. The author fails to take into account possible difference between toy store and jewelry store. One the one hand, the consumer of toy store mostly consists of teenager or infant, whose pursuing to toy all too often is determined by their parents. On the other hand, the toy market and jewelry market is absolutely followed different market rules. Consider these factors, the recommendation that the company should hire the president of jewelry store is arbitrate as well.
Finally, the author also assumes that the profits of the company would increase desirably. However it is also not the case. It is just the fact that the increase in profits is a reflection of the interplay of many factors. Indeed, the after the adjustment for inflation, the supplement and need or the cost, a simple origin might serve good profit. For instance, as the cost of the toy goes up significantly, the store must lose more profit than before.
In sum, the manager unfairly convinces me the recommendation. To strengthen the author should provide specific information about the decrement of the profits and analyze the cause-effect. To evaluate the analysis to the profits the author should consider and rule out other factors that might exert profound effect on the result of strategy.