为我所用 第八次 argument65

小猪sisiUID: 2453484

65The following appeared in a memo from the president of a chain of cheese stores
located throughout the United States.
"For many years all the stores in our chain have stocked a wide variety of both
domestic and imported cheeses. Last year, however, the five best-selling cheeses
at our newest store were all domestic cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin. Furthermore
, a recent survey by Cheeses of the World magazine indicates an increasing
preference for domestic cheeses among its subscribers. Since our company can
reduce expenses by limiting inventory, the best way to improve profits in all of
our stores is to discontinue stocking many of our varieties of imported cheese
and concentrate primarily on domestic cheeses."

The arguer asserts that our stores will gain profits from concentrate primarily on domestic
cheeses for the reasons that last year ,the five best-selling cheeses at their newest store
were all domestic cheeses and that a survey showed an in creasing preference for
domestic cheeses. The argument seems to be sound and convincing, however, when taken
into further consideration, it suffers several fallacies.

First of all, the arguer only informs us that the five best-selling cheeses were all domestic
cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin at the newest store.If it is not the case in all stores,
the argument is unconvincing and logical because several possibilties that only people
around the newest store perfer to purchase domestic cheeses but residents in other stores
never buy this kind of cheeses and people buy this cheese only for its low price will
deteriote the argument.Consequently, unless the arguer rules out such possibilties, the
argument could not experience the reasoning.
In addition, even if the newest store is representative of all the stores, the
argument is doubious because the arguer only supplies the selling
information of last year, which could be a special year that the domestic cheeses
sell well due to a advertise campaign that year. Thus unless the auger has convince
evidence to demonstrate the durative perference of the domestic cheeses ,there is no way that
could make the conclusion sound logical.

Secondly, the arguer uses a survey to support his point that domestic cheeses are
popular in people. However, the survey is done by Cheeses of the World magazine,
which means this survey indicates the circumstance in the range of the world and could
not stand for the popularity of domestic cheeses in the arguer's country because
perhaps most countries would prefer cheeses made by their own countries except the
arguer's country. In addition, the arguer also does not present an evidence to prove
the quality of the survey, which could probably be imprecise. Therefore, if the arguer
would like to make his statement convincing, he needs to supplies more relevant information about
the survey such as how many people are involved in the survey and which countries does
the magine investigate?

Thirdly, the plan of increasing profits by concentrating primarily on domestic cheeses
would not achieved, even if the perference of domestic chesses are proved, since
the profits include to part: cost and revenue. And then when the information of
the cost of concentrating on domestic cheeses missed, we could not value the plan
because it is extremely possible that the arguer's company would gain a large
revenue from stocking and selling domestic cheeses but it fails to gain profit
for the cost of stocking and selling domestic cheeses cost a lot. Thus, unless
the arguer considers the two side of the profit and offers information, there is
no way that his plan would carried out as he expected.

Finally, the arguer should consider another point about which brand of cheeses to store
if our his previous statement is true.Due to the report of the newest store, the best-selling
are from Wisconsin. If it is the case that people only choose cheeses from Wisconsin,
the arguer should consider only stoching Wisconsin's cheeses rather all kinds demostic
cheeses.Thus, he could not make imprudent decision without doing more researches about
the selling market.

After pointing out so many flaws in the argument, we could say this conclusion is
highly unacceptable and doubtable. To better strength the argument, the arguer should
provides more valid and convincing evidence to illustrate the perference of domestic
cheeses in his country and the tendency of this popularity. To better recommend
this argument, we need precise and complete information about cost and revenue
of selling and stocking domestic cheeses. To make a better plan, the arguer should
do more reseach on the chesses market instead of concluding rashly.



[ 本帖最后由 liyue24 于 2008-4-2 10:02 编辑 ]

xiongnashiongUID: 2359406

The arguer asserts that our stores will gain profits from concentrate primarily on domestic
cheeses for the reasons that last year ,the five best-selling cheeses at their newest store
were all domestic cheeses and that a survey showed an in creasing preference for
domestic cheeses. The argument seems to be sound and convincing, however, when taken
into further consideration, it suffers several fallacies.

First of all, the arguer only informs us that the five best-selling cheeses were all domestic
cheddar cheeses from Wisconsin at the newest store.If it is not the case in all stores,
the argument is unconvincing and logical because several  possibilties that only people
around the newest store perfer to purchase domestic cheeses but residents in other stores
never buy this kind of cheeses and people buy this cheese only for its low price will
deteriote the argument.Consequently, unless the arguer rules out such possibilties, the
argument could not experience the reasoning.
In addition, even if the newest store is representative of all the stores, the
argument is doubious because the arguer only supplies the selling
information of last year, which could be a special year that the domestic cheeses
sell well due to a advertise campaign that year. Thus unless the auger has convince
evidence to demonstrate the durative perference of the domestic cheeses ,there is no way that
could make the conclusion sound logical.具体化做的蛮充分的，组织的也有层次感，但是感觉不够完美，个人觉得是简练的例子缺乏的原因。

Secondly, the arguer uses a survey to support his point that domestic cheeses are
popular in people. However, the survey is done by Cheeses of the World magazine,
which means this survey indicates the circumstance in the range of the world and could
not stand for the popularity of domestic cheeses in the arguer's country because
perhaps most countries would prefer cheeses made by their own countries except the
arguer's country. In addition, the arguer also does not present an evidence to prove
the quality of the survey, which could probably be imprecise. （for what？）Therefore, if the arguer
would like to make his statement convincing, he needs to supplies more relevant information about
the survey such as how many people are involved in the survey and which countries does
the magine investigate? 还是那么关键的一句没有

Thirdly, the plan of increasing profits by concentrating primarily on domestic cheeses
would not achieved, even if the perference of domestic chesses are proved, since
the profits include to part: cost and revenue. And then when the information of
the cost of concentrating on domestic cheeses missed, we could not value the plan
because it is extremely possible that the arguer's company would gain a large
revenue from stocking and selling domestic cheeses but it fails to gain profit
for the cost of stocking and selling domestic cheeses cost a lot. Thus, unless
the arguer considers the two side of the profit and offers information, there is
no way that his plan would carried out as he expected. 恩这段是一个经典攻击点

Finally, the arguer should consider another point about which brand of cheeses to store
if our his previous statement is true.Due to the report of the newest store, the best-selling
are from Wisconsin. If it is the case that people only choose cheeses from Wisconsin,
the arguer should consider only stoching Wisconsin's cheeses rather all kinds demostic
cheeses.Thus, he could not make imprudent decision without doing more researches about
the selling market. 恩这个点放在最后是很合理的

After pointing out so many flaws in the argument, we could say this conclusion is
highly unacceptable and doubtable. To better strength the argument, the arguer should
provides more valid and convincing evidence to illustrate the perference of domestic
cheeses in his country and the tendency of this popularity. To better recommend
this argument, we need precise and complete information about cost and revenue
of selling and stocking domestic cheeses. To make a better plan, the arguer should
do more reseach on the chesses market instead of concluding rashly.

总体不错，觉得应该有五分左右的水平
欢迎回拍我的
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