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发表于 2008-8-21 20:54:53
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Argument51【超越自我小组】第13次作业 (8.17)by 马
TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
WORDS: 391 TIME: 00:30:00 DATE: 2008-8-18 12:04:56
The argument is not cogent for convicting(去掉convicting) the fallacies that the arguer unfairly recommends muscle strain patients to take antibiotics on the basis of unfairly comparison between experimental group and controlling group without take into account the possible difference of the physical situation of these two groups of patients, and overlooking the(去the) other possible explanations for the quicker healing of infection.
In order to get correct and effective consequence from comparison, it is telling that (这个it is telling that诡异啊)other ``` of the experimental group should be similar to these factors in the controlling group. Nonetheless, we can obtain no accurate information on the original (这个original意思是?)physical condition of the patients in these two groups. It is quite possible that the age, health condition, race are apparent(去掉apparent) different. Consider, if the patients in the experimental group in which the patients are provided with antibiotics regularly are mainly constituted with young people who are in their 30s, while in the controlling group, most patients are senile, the phenomena that the patients in the experimental group picked them up quickly is of little doubt. (你觉得研究人员会犯这么幼稚的错误么?这样的错误太明显了。这种假设不是抬杠么,当然能削弱对方,但也显得自己掉价啊这样的削弱不是很有力,不如说可能是这两组人住的地方不一样,一组在山区全都有某种病,这种病才是因素)It may, in fact, be their healthier physical situation of themselves keeps them from the second infection and accelerates the healing process, rather than antibiotics they took. In light of this consideration, the whole fruit the arguer obtains is of little convincing power.
Even if I ignore the possible influence the discrepancy of patients' different physical condition would brought to the conclusion the arguer draws, the recommendation is further flawed for overlooking other possible factors which would also serve to the quicker healing of the patients in experimental group. As elicited by the arguer, the doctors in the two groups are specialized in different areas--that is, sports medicine and general physics, thus, it is totally possible Dr. Newland are more familiar with muscle injuries. As my experience informed me that the professional knowledge and specialized skill play a crucial role in determining the healing time and healing extent of the patients, perhaps it is the specialized knowledge of Dr. Newland on curing muscle injuries accelerate the process of healing. Without exclude the possible influence of doctors' different treatment level, the recommendation on taking antibiotics is untenable.
To sum up, the cause-and-effect analysis of taking antibiotics and quicker healing of patients' muscle injuries is not effective, and therefore the arguer fails to convince me
lz语言很好句子都很顺,但是就找到了一个错误么?全文在用他因法攻击论据,再说可能antibiotics对这病没用,还有很多可以说的。攻击不全面的厉害啊。或者lz认为说得深入些,会比到处都点要好?Lz注意到了就
[ 本帖最后由 doubtingthomas 于 2008-8-21 20:56 编辑 ] |
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