0910G[Splendid Sun] 第1次作业 提纲+ISSUE17文 By Hover

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Argument 6.The following was written as a part of an application for a small business loan by a group of developers in the city of Monroe.

"A jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise. Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus, our

proposed club, the C Note, would have the local market all to itself. Plus, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended

Monroe's jazz festival last summer, several well-known jazz musicians live in Monroe, and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz

Nightly,' which airs every weeknight. Finally, a nationwide study indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on

jazz entertainment. It is clear that the C Note cannot help but make money."

在Monroe建立爵士乐俱乐部将会是非常盈利的产业。当前，最近的爵士俱乐部也在65英里以外；因此，我们筹建的俱乐部C

Note将会占有全部的本地市场。而且，爵士乐在Monroe非常流行：去年夏天10万多人参加了Monroe的爵士音乐节，若干知名爵士音乐家居住在Monroe，Monroe获评价最高的广播节目是平时每天播出的Jazz Nightly。最后，一项全国性研究表明典型的爵士爱好者每年花费近1000元用于爵士娱乐。显然C Note将会赚钱。

1 按照利润类分析：
   Jazz club投入高
2 让步式攻击：
   全国调查数据未必能辐射到本地区，即使辐射到本地区，每个人花费的1000元的爵士乐消费未必会用到Jazz club ，因为最受欢迎的是Radio programs。
   即使这一地区去年爵士乐流行，但是这一趋势未必能延续。

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16.The following appeared in a letter to the editor of a local newspaper from a citizen of the state of Impecunia.



"Two years ago our neighboring state, Lucria, began a state lottery to supplement tax revenues for education and public health. Today, Lucria spends more per pupil than we do, and Lucria's public health program treats far more people than our state's program does. If we were to establish a state lottery like the one in Lucria, the profits could be used to improve our educational system and public health program. The new lottery would doubtless be successful, because a survey conducted in our capital city concludes that citizens of Impecunia already spend an average of $50 per person per year on gambling."



两年前我们相邻的州Lucria开展了州际彩票活动来增加用于教育和公共医疗的财政收入。现在，Lucria对于每个小学生的平均开支比我们多，Lucria的公共医疗体系接待的人数也比我们的多很多。如果我们也建立一套和Lucria类似的彩票系统，其盈利可以被用来改我们的教育系统和公共医疗体系。新的彩票无疑会成，因为在我们的首府举办的一次调查显示Impecuni的居每人每年用于博彩的平均支出已经达到$50。

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对于首府的调查未必能反应全州的情况，即便能反映全州的情况，每人50元的彩票开支未能能用于我们这种类型的彩票，即便用于购买我们这一类型的彩票，其盈利也未必能像邻州那样带来对教育系统和医疗体系的改善，因为法律，政策，人口等现实条件的不同。

即便可复制邻州的模式，两年前彩票带来的种种利益未必对现在或未来有效

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21.The following appeared in a memo from the new vice president of Sartorian, a company that manufactures men's clothing.



"Five years ago, at a time when we had difficulties in obtaining reliable supplies of high-quality wool fabric, we discontinued production of our deluxe alpaca overcoats. Now that we have a new fabric supplier, we should resume production. This coat should sell very well: since we have not offered an alpaca overcoat for five years and since our major competitor no longer makes an alpaca overcoat, there will be pent-up customer demand. Also, since the price of most types of clothing has risen in each of the past five years, customers should be willing to pay significantly higher prices for alpaca overcoats than they did five years ago, and our company profits will increase."



五年前，当我们在获取可靠的高质量羊毛毛料的渠道方面存在困难的时候，我们停止了高档羊毛外衣的生产。现在有了新的毛料供应商，我们应该重新开始生产。这种外衣应该卖得很好：因为我们已经五年没有供应羊毛外衣了，而且由于我们的主要竞争对手已不再生产羊毛外衣，消费者将有很迫切的需求。而且，由于过去五年中多数种类的服装价格每年都在上涨，消费者应该愿意花比五年前高的多的价格购买羊毛外衣，从而我们公司的利润将会上升。
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1 无理假设了羊毛外衣将来会有很好的市场需求，正如作者所说，最大的竞争对手已经不生产了，说明这种羊毛外衣不再好卖。
2 错误类比加外推类错误：多数服装价格上涨并不能说明羊毛外衣价格一定上涨，即便在过去五年内上涨了，外来也未必上涨。
3 profit错误:品牌陌生所带来的成本会相应的提高，所带来的利润未必提高

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193.The Department of Education in the state of Attra recommends that high school students be assigned homework every day. Yet a recent statewide survey of high school math and science teachers calls the usefulness of daily homework into question. In the district of Sanlee, 86 percent of the teachers reported assigning homework three to five times a week, whereas in the district of Marlee, less than 25 percent of the teachers reported assigning homework three to five times a week. Yet the students in Marlee earn better grades overall and are less likely to be required to repeat a year of school than are the students in Sanlee. Therefore, all teachers in our high schools should assign homework no more than twice a week, if at all.



Attra州的教育部建议高中学生应该每天都被布置家庭作业。然而最近一项对于全州的数学和理化高中教师的调查却对每天布置家庭作业的作用提出了疑问。在Sanlee地区，86％的教师报告说他们每周布置3－5次家庭作业，而在Marlee地区，只有少于25％的教师报告说每周布置3－5次作业。而Marlee地区的学生综合成绩更好，而且比起Sanlee的学生更不容易留级。因此，我们高中的所有教师每周布置作业都不应该超过两次。
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1 S地区的情况和M的情况可能不同，不能认定布置作业多少是学生综合成绩的原因
2 对于数学和理化高中老师的调查片面，不能反映所有的老师
3 只给出了相对值，没有绝对值，调查数据不精确

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*Issues 7. The video camera provides such an accurate and convincing record of contemporary life that it has become a more important form of documentation than written records. [4]

*7. 摄像机可以如此精确有力地记录当代人们的生活，因此它已经成为比纸笔记录更重要的记录方式。
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        Issue 7
       
        开头段：
       
        In response to this issue, we need to analyze the proposition comprehensively from the dialectic perspective, investigating the nature of  the truth by critical analysis of concepts and hypotheses. The author declares that the video has become a more important form of documentation than written records, however, it over simplifies this issue. The final judgment, in my point of view , should depend on a case-by-case analysis.
       
        正文：
       
    First and foremost , the video cameras are more convenient in the process of recording message meanwhile the written records are convenient and fast in someone looking up in a reference source. Moreover,more directviewing information can be recorded by video cameras and more processed summarized information can be done by written records . For example , ……
        Video cameras are not used as frequently as written records . Because video cameras are too expensive for most people ,especially in developing nations. In addition , from visual of social ,documents carry both cultural significance and metaphoric significance even though the video camera provides an accurate record of physical life and phenomena ,it cannot competently provide insight into the mind. (Deeply analysis cs and ms)
          In some normative ,special and official situation, the information in documents as well as documents themselves are often of great social value because of the influence represented.example.......
        结尾段：
     From the analyses made above, I strongly commit to the notion that we need to call for a balance between video camera and written records. without video camera or without written records. there will be different degree of obstacles. In a word , The most effective way to taking down one's life and experience is through the comprehensive use of video camera and written records.

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17. There are two types of laws: just and unjust. Every individual in a society has a responsibility to obey just laws and, even more importantly, to disobey and resist unjust laws. [10]

17. 有两种法律：公正的和不公正的。社会中的每个人都有责任遵守公正的法律，更重要的是，不遵守和抵制不公正的法律。

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正文段：
        First and foremost , the impairment of laws are not determined by individuals but objectivity and characteristic of laws . In other words, the laws represent the general will of the citizens in stead of individuals. In fact , in obeying its laws each citizen is pursuing his own real interests. Thus ,in an ideal state, laws express the general will. Moreover , though there are distinct mistakes in the laws , only legislature has power to correct it at all events.
        However , in reality, the law is adaptable and flexible in certain situations, places and times. Although the written rules must be fixed and seldom changed, the people that enforce the laws ,as well as those who judge those who break the laws,have a certain amount of built-in discretion to see that justice is done.
        Without fast and hard rules of law, a society cannot be expected to be able to comply with those laws.........
结尾段：
         In summary, as one of the crucial elements of modern society, the laws have to be served as the guidance for almost all the citizens to live and work in a right way and also provide them with a stabilized climate.