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发表于 2009-7-21 22:20:10
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本帖最后由 ystyle 于 2009-7-21 22:23 编辑
Argument第一次限时写,恩,写得有点怪,我只写了两个flaws...到写第三个的时候时间久不够了,就没写。。。请楼下帮我看看,我这2个反驳的地方哪里可以省略些呢,有没这个必要?。。。还有就是我写的不是很顺。。。可能也浪费了一些时间。。。
TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
WORDS: 351 TIME: 00:29:15 DATE: 2009/7/21 22:05:48
The author of the newsletter recommends that patients who are diagnosed with muscle stain should take the antibiotics as part of their treatment. To justify his or her conclusion, the arguer points out that by carrying out a study of two groups of patients who suffer from the muscle strain problem, people who took antibiotics regularly would shorten their recuperation time than those who do not adopt this method. However, close scrutiny of this argument reveals that it contains several flaws, which render it unconvincing as it stands.
Firstly, the study provided by the author of this medical newsletter is insufficient for us to reach the conclusion, the arguer just tells us there are two groups of patients who face the same situation, as the severe muscle strain problem. Nevertheless, many other essential factors are ignored in the study. We need to know the detailed information of the groups, such as the distribution of ages and sex and the severity of injuries of the both groups. Lacking further studied on these important issues, the arguer could not hastily conclude that antibiotic is the only element that affect the result of the study.
Secondly, in the argument, the author only offers us the information that the difference between treatments of the two groups is the antibiotic employment to illustrate the significant role in the therapy that antibiotic are. Albeit the variation between them might actually influence the treatment, there are myriad of factors which, if differ in some cases, would bring the entirely different result of the study. For example, perhaps Dr. Newland not only took antibiotics regularly to the patients, but he also adopts an extra therapy we don't know to cure the muscle strain or the secondary infections. Without any further considerations about these factors, the arguer could not convince us that it is the antibiotics affection, not others.
To sum up, the argument is indefensible and unpersuasive. To bolster it, the author of the newsletter must show more consideration about the study he or she carried out, and must exclude some other possibilities, otherwise the argument is logically unacceptable. |
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