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发表于 2009-8-24 00:05:30
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TOPIC: ARGUMENT51 - The following appeared in a medical newsletter.
"Doctors have long suspected that secondary infections may keep some patients from healing quickly after severe muscle strain. This hypothesis has now been proved by preliminary results of a study of two groups of patients. The first group of patients, all being treated for muscle injuries by Dr. Newland, a doctor who specializes in sports medicine, took antibiotics regularly throughout their treatment. Their recuperation time was, on average, 40 percent quicker than typically expected. Patients in the second group, all being treated by Dr. Alton, a general physician, were given sugar pills, although the patients believed they were taking antibiotics. Their average recuperation time was not significantly reduced. Therefore, all patients who are diagnosed with muscle strain would be well advised to take antibiotics as part of their treatment."
WORDS: 425 TIME: 00:40:00 DATE: 2009-8-23 23:45:14
In this argument, the author concludes that all patients with muscle strain should take antibiotics as part of their treatment. To support this conclusion, the author infers that the group of patients who take antibiotics and treated by a sport-medical doctor heals faster than average typically expected. The author also points out that another group of patients who take sugar pills and treated by general physician heals slower than the first group. However, from the logical perspective, this argument suffers from several logical flaws.
The threshold problem with this argument is that the author assumes that secondary infections will certainly happens on patients of severe muscle strains. Although this is entirely possible, the author fails to give information to confirm this assumption. It is likely that secondary infections may not happens on all the patients with muscle strain. For this matter, the antibiotics may not be effective in treating the muscle strain of all patients. Until the author provides further evidence to exclude this possibility, it is unfounded to reach the conclusion involved in the argument.
Another problem that weakens the logic of this argument is that the author's claim relies on the study of two groups of patients, and the result of the study is not reliable to support the author's claim. The author fails to informs us the ages, sex, physiques and the differences between the treatment of two doctors. Perhaps the patients of the first group are stronger than the second one. Or perhaps the doctor specializes in sports medicine gave some extra treatment to the patients of first group, and this extra cure might resulted in the faster recovery. Both factors, if true, will make the author's conclusion unreliable.
Last but not least important, the author falsely assumes that the sugar pills which the patients of second group took, has neither good effect nor harm to the patients. Because the author provides no affirmative evidence for this assumption. It is as possible that the sugar pills have a bad effect on these patients of their healing. Without ruling out this possibility, the conclusion of the author is unfounded.
To sum up, the author fails to substantiate his claim that antibiotics could be a treatment for patients with muscle strain. To make the argument more convincing, the author would have to provide more information with regard to the relations between secondary infections and muscle strain. Additionally, the author would have to demonstrate that it is the antibiotics which cause the different recuperation time between the patients of each group-rather than other factors. |
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