- 最后登录
- 2013-3-31
- 在线时间
- 104 小时
- 寄托币
- 443
- 声望
- 0
- 注册时间
- 2006-4-5
- 阅读权限
- 20
- 帖子
- 5
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 345
- UID
- 2203373
 
- 声望
- 0
- 寄托币
- 443
- 注册时间
- 2006-4-5
- 精华
- 0
- 帖子
- 5
|
Argument71
提纲
1. 处理相同的矿石省电并不一定保证得到相同的纯铜也能省电
2. 即使省电,也不能确保新技术能得到很好的推广
3. 即使上述两点都成立,也不能保证炼铜工业的用电量下降,还应该考虑其他因素的影响
In this argument, the arguer concludes that the amount of electricity used by the copper-extraction industry is expected to decline significantly by using the New copper-extracting technologies. To support the conclusion, the arguer point that New copper-extrcting technologies can use up to 40 percent less electricity than the older method to process the same amount of raw ore, especially when the proportion of copper in the ore is high. As it stands, the argument suffers from several critical flaws as follows.
To begin with, the fact that up to 40 percent electricity can be saved to process the same amount of raw ore when carrying out the new technologies dose not ensure that the same amount of copper can be obtained since the proportion of the copper in the ore is not sure. As the arguer has said, the fraction of copper in the ore can vary considerably. Perhaps, the total yeild of the pure copper is also much less than before if the proportion of copper in the ore is low. For example, suppose that with the old method,by dealing with 100 tons of ore, 3 tons of pure copper is extracted, whereas with the mew method, maybe only 0.5 tons of pure copper can be obtained out of more than 140 tons of ores. In this case, even though the same electricity is consumed, we can get more pure copper by the old method only because the difference percentage of the pure copper in the ore. Besides, the 40 percent electricity saving is much related to the high proportion of copper in the ore, who can guarantee the efficiency would be the same when the copper proportion in the ore is very low. Therefore, there is no guarantee that the new technologies are less electricity-consuming.
Futhermore, even if New copper-extracting technologies can save electricity, of course , an unwarranted assumption, it does not follow that these technologies can be put into practice in a large scale in the industry. Many factors affecting the prevailing of the technologies. It is entirely possible that the equipment of this kind of technology is so expensive that only a small portion of the copper-extracting factories can afford it, or the technologies are too complicated for common people to understand. As a result, most factoris would refuse to introdeuce these new technologies even though less electricity is needed.
In addition, the arguer fails to consider and rules out other factors that might affect the amount of electricity used in the copper-extraction industry. Even if the arguer's above two assumptions are acceptable, we can not simply concludes that electricity consumption of the industry is sure to decline dramatically. It is likely that the amount of the production in the industry is arising at the same time. In this case, maybe the consumption of electricity is much higher than ever before.
To sum up, the conclusion reached in the argument lacks credibility since the assumptions in the argument do not lend strong support to the arguer's claim. To make the argument more convincing, the aruger would have to provide more specific evidence concerning the new technologies’ high performance in saving electricity. To better evaluate the argument, we need more information about the feasibility of the technologies and the factors affecting the amount of electricity used by the copper-extration industry.
[ 本帖最后由 cpuliuwen 于 2006-7-16 21:01 编辑 ] |
|